#Forecast

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

All right, folks, here's our last PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UPDATE of 2020 to accompany our final forecast.https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-2020-presidential-election-forecast/ At the end here, our model defaults to a very "p

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

If you take the polls at face value right now—with Biden gaining/holding steady in AZ, WI, MI but losing ground in PA & FL, then Arizona is the tipping-point state

Anthony Edwards

edwardsanthonyb

[THREAD]We're just two days away from what could be a historic snowfall (6-12") for the Puget Sound lowlands... or it could just be your typical run-of-the-mill sloppy inch or two.I

CW3E Scripps

CW3E_Scripps

Thread: A potentially strong #AtmosphericRiver is forecast to make landfall over Northern to Central California and could potentially produce widespread hydrologic impacts across a large portion of California. #CAwx The

NWS Salt Lake City

NWSSaltLakeCity

Since it's a quiet Sunday morning here at the office, we wanted go into a little detail about something interesting we're seeing in the long term forecast. Follow along with

Youyang Gu

youyanggu

The COVIDhub Ensemble model that combines all the models did not perform well over the past 2 months.This is due to the fact that the majority of model submissions did

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

Today's the day when I finalize all the parameters in our model related to uncertainty and it always gets me in a mood. One thing it's important to bear in

Mike Slifer

MikeSliferWX

GEFS QPF plumes from 00Z 17 December showed just how much spread there was for Portland. QPF ranged from 0.2" to 1.12" with less than 12 hours from the start

G. Elliott Morris

gelliottmorris

I am going to use Twitter as a diary of sorts to explain what happened with our presidential election forecast (and why) on most days between now and November 3rd.

sarah anne lloyd 🌺

sarahannelloyd

This is my first #wasmoke season in a while without a Curbed Seattle resource to update! But I typically just spent maybe 20-30 minutes each morning/afternoon updating from various sources—so

Chaz Nuttycombe

ChazNuttycombe

Looking at the races where there were scandal-plagued incumbents. All of them won. It doesn't seem that scandals affect state legislative candidates anymore: they can pretty much get away with

Ari Paparo

aripap

Based on my many years experience, I’ve developed 24 laws of ad tech product management. These are “laws”, meaning they are always true, everywhere. Thread... 1. If you add something

Greg B. Pool

GregBPool

1/ Overnight we've see new fire detected on the north-facing ridge above Sleepy Hollow just outside of Carmel Valley Village. Here's VIIRS looking north from the leading edge of the

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

Not gonna do any model meta stuff since 1) who cares 2) everyone's forecasts are *pretty* similar. But just one stray comment on this interesting reading from the Economist team

#AskFFT

daverichard

Here is an #AskFFT weather update threadRemember: Strong winds impact longer throws and kicks. 12-yard throws without air under them won't be affected as much. Also remember: forecasts can change

David Paton

cricketwyvern

The MRC mid-point forecast (made on 12th Oct) was for 465 deaths / day by 26 Oct & a range of 240-690.PHE data are now fairly complete for 26 Oct

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