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Looking at the races where there were scandal-plagued incumbents. All of them won. It doesn't seem that scandals affect state legislative candidates anymore: they can pretty much get away with anything they want in an era of hyper-polarization, even down-ballot.
Every scandal-plagued incumbent we mentioned here won. https://cnalysis.com/articles/our-final-forecast-state-legislatures It doesn't matter anymore. None of it matters. We won't be taking into account any scandals on behalf of state legislative candidates/incumbents in 2022, it hurt us in our accuracy this year.
The guy who ran over a kid's dog? Won. The woman who called a constituent a "forecloser loser?" Won. Aaron Coleman? Won. Mike Maroney, who solicited prostitutes twice within a year? Won. Nothing matters anymore down-ballot. Scandals be damned -- partisanship triumphs all.
The guy who wore a KKK outfit in high school? He won (this was expected though). Tony Wayne Street, who had stalking charges? He barely lost in the NC Auditor race. NONE of it matters anymore. Not at all. It's not something you should factor in anymore.
The Democrat in the OR House who faced sexual harassment accusations? Won. The Republican who faced accusations of moldesting children, in a district in the Kansas City suburbs? He won.
I could go on. Nothing, and I mean, nothing matters down-ballot anymore. Irrelevant.
I could go on. Nothing, and I mean, nothing matters down-ballot anymore. Irrelevant.
