#Forecast

Greg Rubini

GregRubini

TRUMP 406BIDEN 132analysis State by State will be linked below - [THREAD] under developmentRetweet! 2) we win PennsylvaniaTrump 56%Biden 44% 3) Colorado:Trump 57%Biden 43% 4) in 2016 Virginia had:Trump

Simon Lee

SimonLeeWx

Because of the time-lagged ensemble approach used by the Met Office vs. the "burst" approach used by ECMWF, the January C3S update of GloSea5 only had a max. ~40% probability

Keubiko

Keubiko

5/n... assign value to any security in company sale. All the various series of pref shares have different clauses and ratchets such that any value ascribed to one series would

Daryl French 🇳🇴🇮🇸🇱🇮🇨🇭🇬🇧 ... ex-🇦🇺

daryljfrench

On the face of it, there appear to be two highly misleading slides in tonight's COVID presentation from @10DowningStreet. Specifically, I'm referring to the two SPI-M forecasts for both hospital

Oskar Garcia

oskargarcia

This breakdown from @Nate_Cohn on how to follow the election tonight is like someone just handed you a preloaded Tweetdeck with every relevant list and slice just right there teed

Æx

anonyx10

My medium term view on $TSLA: 1/ Q2 was tough, w/ a month of lost production in Fremont due to Covid. At the same time, GF3 (Shanghai) is still ramping,

Michael Bishop 🇨🇦🇺🇸

thatMikeBishop

If you have an opinion about the minimum-wage proposal, I hope you have an opinion about the effects it would have. This is a forecasting problem, but have any minimum-wage

Harry Crane

HarryDCrane

Some confessions re: @NateSilver538 and @FiveThirtyEight 1. Headlines like this are a weasel move, but I don't necessarily mind it (in a vacuum).My major objection to 538/Silver is that if

Guy Nason

jepsts

Just released my COVID English Hospitalisations Explorer & Forecaster http://shiny2.ma.ic.ac.uk/users/gnason/ Online app using data direct from @NHSEngland Enables forecasting FROM a specific date a number of days ahead that you

Crypto Sheen

CryptoSheen__

IS TWITTER MONEY INVESTING WRONG?Everybody is talking about that your 20's is the time to be massively risk.Start a businessStart investingI only see people investing in the stock market or

Jo Michell

JoMicheII

A response from Rob Jump and me to the latest OBR forecasts and the associated commentary.Sunak's statement that ‘economic emergency has only just begun’ set the tone for press coverage

Christian Grams

cgrams_lsdp

good point @SimonLeeWX . Using different regime definitions allows somewhat to deal with flow-dependent predictability as we advocate in our @ECMWF article https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/165/meteorology/how-make-use-weather-regimes-ext

Joe Weisenthal

TheStalwart

BREAKING: JUNE PAYROLLS BEAT EXPECTATIONS. 4.8 MILLION vs. 3.2 MILLION EXPECTEDUnemployment rate falls to 11.1% from 13.3%Futures now up 1.2% pre-market https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-01/asian-stock-futures-climb-nasdaq-hit

Greg's Weather ⚠️ TS Josephine 🐟 x2 🍋🍋 ⚠️

greg_weather

#TropicalDepression7 has intensified into #TropicalStormGonzalo. There seems to be a small eye trying to open up. Small systems like these can wrap up quickly, and easily fall apart just as

Daniel Swain

Weather_West

Mid-storm update (yes, this multi-day event is less than half over). Last night brought a multitude of wild weather across NorCal, including heavy snow at low elevs that rarely see

Michael Donnelly

donnellymjd

The latest preprint analysis of the B117 variant has this variant becoming dominant in the US in March. That's similar to my forecasts, though I don't think this analysis has

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