#Forecasts

Dr Duncan Robertson

Dr_D_Robertson

A thread on the modelling and analysis used to suggest scenarios for what *could* happen if we do nothing. And commentary on this slide. The slides that were presented in

Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria

paures12

How severe is the COVID-19 recession from a historical perspective? How does its magnitude vary across countries?We address these questions in my latest blog post with @andyneumeyer and @LucasBelmudes3. We

John Kemp

JKempEnergy

POWER GRID FAILURES never have a single cause. Grids should be managed conservatively with multiple layers of protection and reserves. Even if there is a single proximate cause, such as

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

Basically, the additional uncertainty introduced into an election forecast by COVID-19 falls into two buckets:1) It means there's a lot of *news* and economic volatility.2) It could screw with the

Chris Giles

ChrisGiles_

What do we know about the UK second wave of Covid-19 and the effect of lockdowns?tl:dr - cases are high, but not as bad as the first wave and the

Dr. Amy H Butler

DrAHButler

(1/) The surface temperature anomaly response to the #SSW has been qualitatively close, for the hemisphere as a whole, to what we might expect from the averaged 0-30 day response

Tim Latimer

TimMLatimer

1/In 2020, peak demand for oil has become a hot topic. Estimates range from a peak in 2040s to the peak having already passed. But the Trillion $$ Energy Transition

Delphi Digital

Delphi_Digital

0/ [PUBLIC RELEASE] The Bitcoin Bull Case: 2021 & BeyondAfter 1,081 days of waiting, #Bitcoin recently reached a new ATH. So what’s next?We’re making our latest report public to

Tichaona Chitsinde

TiChitsinde

D: How many farming project thingies are you involved in?Me: 5 at various scales currently. Got another 5 proposals that I'm looking at and will probably add another 2 in

R.Сам 🦋🐏

Logo_Daedalus

Simply— the “market” is not capable of dealing with masses of retail investors because it’s secretly an organ of central planning— so when retail investors start coming online, it falls

Brad Freeman

StockMarketNerd

$CURI/@CuriosityStream -- A platform "founded to satisfy humanity's enduring curiosity with premium content to inform, enchant & inspire.”$CURI:-benefits from the cord-cutting revolution-claims a "factual streaming"

Nick Hudson

NickHudsonCT

“Data driven curve fitting is a good tool for real time decision making, but also provides a good framework for modelers to check their model assumptions (sanity checks) and keep

Jasper Tjaden

JasperTjaden

1/3 Sharing our @IOM_GMDAC @UNmigration experiences from exploring Google and Facebook data for #migration #forecasting over recent months: A tale of high policy expectations, promising results....BUT...a long road ahead for

Jason Furman

jasonfurman

I did a talk in the excellent @MarkusEconomist Academy series yesterday on “Do Debt and Deficits Matter Anymore.” You can watch the video, see the slides, or read this longish

Nick Hudson

NickHudsonCT

Pam Groenewald, an officer of the SAMRC (@PamRenaud @MRCza) continues to misrepresent @PanData19's views, summarising them as "to try and minimise the suffering and mortality due to the Covid epidemic".

Frank Rotman

fintechjunkie

1/39: The only way to describe the public markets’ appetite for new Logos is “insatiable”. But why? SPACs vs. IPOs? I’m no public markets expert by any stretch of the

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