#Forecasts

Youyang Gu

youyanggu

I've made a major update to http://covid19-projections.com that tries to better account for the increase in cases and the resulting lag in reported deaths.I believe new infections have likely peaked,

Shahzad Gani

shahzadgani

Looking for long-term particle number concentrations and size distribution data to better understand air pollution dynamics in Delhi?Of course you are!New paper w/ @joshapte @SahilBh_India @pkanan03 & others at @UTAustin

Cam Patterson

drcampatterson

UAMS has taken the extraordinary step of asking leadership across our health system to refrain from traveling over the coming holidays and report to work or be available if needed.

Neoliberal 🌐

ne0liberal

A quick thread about why I believe election models are better than betting markets:The simplest answer: political prediction markets are sometimes just bad, full stop. See research:http://bjll.org/index.php/jpm/article/view/1796 If you read

Bob Kopp

bobkopp

I had a great conversation with @kmac as she prepared this column, much of which could not make it into her 1000 words. So here are some more thoughts:https://twitter.com/bobkopp/status/1360224071250755584 The

Noah Smith 🐇

Noahpinion

1/Today's @bopinion post is about why developing nations are in big trouble -- both from coronavirus, and from the decline of the United States.https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-08-03/covid-19-and-declining-u-s-pose-double

Rachel Lavin

RachelLavin

Here's some of the best interactives on the US election for all those nervously scrolling today:This NYT electoral vote counter is unique - just drag the bubble based on your

Rahul Mehta

OpportunCity

CDN weather news:"Not what we expected""Cold is coming""Warmer than normal""More like El Nino""Expect more warm shots""Cold air trapped in the Arctic"...yet no mention of climate c

Story Teller

mykeels

Remember when I talked about how Electricity is a struggle even in developed countries?Here's a thread about the Industrial Curtailment Initiative (ICI), a technique used to solve this problem in

Josh Gabbatiss

Josh_Gabbatiss

I took a look at Shell's first ever 1.5C scenario and found that it is... remarkably similar to its “well-below 2C” scenario.Oil, gas, coal, solar.... all basically unchanged.The key difference:

Bob McKenzie

TSNBobMcKenzie

It’s Ratification(?) Friday, when NHL/NHLPA will ratify or reject the RTP protocols/CBA extension. It’s an all or nothing proposition. Accept it all — an effort to finish 2019-20, a 6-year

BVDDY

BvddyCorleone

It’s my birthday today but I can’t resist commenting on the big moves in Growth/Value...Today’s rise in the 10Y to above 1% has coincided with a massive blowout in the

calvinfroedge

calvinfroedge

1 yr ago Cleaves had $18.4 PT on $TNK (RS adjusted). At the time, $TNK had many upcoming maturities and had not experienced the Q4-Q2 rate bonanza. After 5c loss

Ernie Tedeschi

ernietedeschi

Ahead of the ADP release at 8:15am, a brief thread on what high-frequency private data is suggesting we'll get for November payrolls, why it might be right, and why it

Kendra "Gloom is My Beat" Pierre-Louis

KendraWrites

A pet peeve is when I'm called prescient. I'm not. I never win the lotto. I never win at slots. I can't even tell you in the morning what I'm

Gary Black

garyblack00

According to S3 Partners, $TSLA shorts have lost $35B in 2020. I talk with many TSLA shorts, and have been on the other side of their trade all year. Here

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