#Forecasts

Celeste Labedz

celestelabedz

How do earthquake “prediction” con artists make it LOOK like they have a good track record, even though they’re totally unscientific hoaxters?Let a seismologist fill you in.Thread: First, to be

Rob C

IndexCheesus

It's been fascinating to see the IPD replacement proposals on the #footballindex timeline. If we were looking at it as though we were part of the FI team what methodology

Rajiv Sethi

rajivatbarnard

We look at daily predictions for 13 battleground states over a seven month period, comparing @TheEconomist model and @PredictIt Here are the time paths of predictions, you can see large

Hannah Director

HannahDirector

Since inquiring minds want to know, I’m inspired to offer a tweetorial on how statisticians can interpret the weather. 1/nhttps://twitter.com/daniela_witten/status/1343245828945833988 Let’s say the news reports that there is a 30%

Dennis Mersereau

wxdam

The Trump administration's assault on climate science rightfully gets the bulk of the coverage, but the last four years have been rough when it comes to basic, everyday weather forecasting.The

Ben Chu

BenChu_

Thread on what the earlier roll-out of a coronavirus vaccine means for the UK economy. Obviously good news because it means normal economic life can return sooner....1/ ...But HOW good

Bruce McD

brucemcd23

Serious misjudgement on #R4Today to have proponent of Great Barrington Way Carl Heneghan on , unchallenged , to undermine confidence in data presented by CMO and CSA on Saturday Heneghan

Rebecca McDonald

R_McDonald_

Yes I think the £20 uplift to #UniversalCredit should be permanent (important for adequacy of social security system), but here's a thread just focusing on the year ahead. Extending the

Social Market Foundation

SMFthinktank

The FT's @GeorgeWParker and @ChrisGiles_ reporting today that the Chancellor is preparing to break the pensions triple lock. Back in April, the SMF's @ScottCorfe called for an end to the

Jim Sullivan

JimSullivan92

The Rossby wave machine that will be in place over the northwest Pacific for the foreseeable future will encourage persistent north Pacific blocking and a cross polar flow into Canada,

Tony Yates

t0nyyates

The Times story about the dramatic last gasp virtual slide show in no 10, with Gupta and Heneghan and Edmonds presenting, Johnson and Sunak listening, are a great illustration of

Joe Boomgard-Zagrodnik

joejoezz

THREAD: The last 2+ weeks were a sleep-deprived blur with the birth of Mia and the crazy snowstorm. Most importantly, it was so much fun! I feel incredibly lucky to

Richard Tye

widespreadhaze

How does HM Government spending take place? A Thread: HM Government spending begins in Parliament via various annual legislative mechanisms: Supply and Appropriation Bills (Main Estimates) and Supply and Appropriation

Trey Henninger

TreyHenninger

1/ Today, I am excited to share my stock thesis on Solitron Devices $SODISolitron Devices was the stock that I profiled in my accepted @MicroCapClub application back in November. To

Jonathan Kimmelman

KimmelmanJ

I have several concerns about the generalizability of our paper. The 17% response rate is not a major one. Here is why: 1/https://twitter.com/Maherjane/status/1334754237004345345 1- Our sample was a very elite

Jeffrey P. Clemens

jeffreypclemens

How large will state and local government revenue shortfalls be in the coming fiscal year? The following thread provides some insights into this question. @stanveuger and I consider this issue

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