#Seasonality

James Lin

jamestwotree

Archival find of the day: in 1977 Taiwan sent an expert on fruit and vegetable juice processing to Saudi Arabia to evaluate the feasibility of establishing a prickly pear (仙人掌果,

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

This seems like a fairly realistic set of assumptions for what to expect on the COVID-19 front next year as vaccinations begin to roll out. Things start to get notably

David Wallace-Wells

dwallacewells

Seasonality, vaccines, variants, caseloads—the country is in a confusing place right now. I spoke with ⁦@michaelmina_lab⁩, probably the most incisive epidemiological thinker in this pandemic, about all of it. A

el gato malo

boriquagato

among all the rain dance efficacy claims about masks and lockdown and demands to "do something" one glaring fact remains about covid-19: it is primarily a regional and seasonal virus

Andrew Lilico

andrew_lilico

Then, focusing on hospitalisations & deaths, we get this. We see we get only 12,029 post-lockdown deaths - a bit less than for a modest flu season. There are quite

The Globe and Mail

globeandmail

Why have global #COVID19 cases dropped by half? Experts are looking for explanations. Story by @kellygrant1 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-why-the-number-of-covid-19-cases-is-dropping-globally/ Why are COVID-19 cases droppin

David Fisman

DFisman

I think this is an unfortunate and inaccurate headline. Pandemics have a beginning, middle and end. We are on the 1918-19 timeline now. A March surge is likely as is

Cem Karsan 🥐

jam_croissant

1/x It took an extra day & an extra whipsaw to lose the weak longs, but as I reiterated yesterday, & as you saw again at EOD Fri + now

Dr Clare Craig

ClareCraigPath

What causes winter excess deaths? Respiratory viruses are a key player but how many can really be attributed to them? How many can be attributed to influenza? How much a

District AI

districtai

Covid cases and hosps are falling, fast. What can we possibly rule out? Thread (data used in parenthesis):- Masking? compliance actually increased into this rise...has not increased markedly during the

el gato malo

boriquagato

the hope-simpson viral seasonality timetable has been running like a well-managed train systemonce you know what to look for, these disease spikes are no more surprising than the 3:10 to

el gato malo

boriquagato

impressed by the liability shield law passed in tennessee, i decided to look at the rest of their covid policy.it looks quite good.this is TN and every state they share

Trent “Tate” Steidley

socsteidley

Interesting NICS data trends from October (sorry this is long)1) There didn't seem to be pre-election bump for gun sales (much to my chagrin), but gun sales are still stronger

Nick Triggle

NickTriggle

We could live with virus 'like we do flu' by end of year, says Hancock. Clearest indication yet on what govt is aiming at. Why? Eradication is simply not possible.

Charlie Whittaker

charliewhittak

Mosquito populations are highly dynamic over space and time; they shape the temporal profile of malaria risk which impacts when and how we deploy control interventions.Understanding them is therefore pretty

Prof

covidtweets

I am beginning to think that the widely accepted model of COVID mainly transmitting between close contacts via droplets is insufficient to explain the data and failing the Occam's razor.

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