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I think this is an unfortunate and inaccurate headline. Pandemics have a beginning, middle and end. We are on the 1918-19 timeline now. A March surge is likely as is a summer subsidence.
https://globalnews.ca/news/7605127/canada-coronavirus-pandemic-finish-line/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
https://globalnews.ca/news/7605127/canada-coronavirus-pandemic-finish-line/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
We don’t have much vaccine now. We will have in late spring and summer. They didn’t have that in 1919 and that will likely markedly diminish “wave 4” next fall.
The fact that covid is a zoonosis and is passaging from animals to humans (eg mink) makes eradication unlikely. But pandemics aren’t forever. Infection, death and immunization are going to concentrate susceptibility in kids over time.
We’ll probably still have outbreaks in vulnerable settings (eg LTC) in years to come (as we do with flu, rsv, norovirus), all of which are more deadly in those settings than in the wider community. But it won’t be a pandemic anymore...orders of magnitude less impact.
As with influenza, where H1N1 evolved from a killer pandemic pathogen to “seasonal flu” from 1922 to 1957, sars-2 may well be a novel endemic disease for us with wintertime seasonality. That’s not a pandemic. Remember-beginning, middle, end. We are likely past the middle.
And a LOT of vaccine, as well as warmer weather and outdoor options, are coming.
Hang in. We are getting there.
Hang in. We are getting there.
