#Polls

Josh

JMagosh

Might write a quick piece on the Lib Dem polling.Although headline figures *look* like they're losing a bunch of voters to Con, they're actually losing hardly any, and in fact

Dan

GixxerDan

Hello. Welcome to the World Cup of Christmas Movies 2020. A journey to find out which Christmas movie is best, through a series of polls.2020 has been so negative and

Dahlia Scheindlin

dahliasc

Survey update in #Israel - wonky thread based on 3 wknd polls (not mine), in light of elex talk. 1. Talk of "Likud plunge" overrated - that relates to brief

Ethan BdM

ethanbdm

Following up on a conversation with @cblatts and @namalhotra on the literature claiming non-response rates don't correlate with non-response bias. I've now skimmed a bit of the literature. (I'm out

Nate Cohn

Nate_Cohn

I wouldn't call it a flub; it's a ~6 pt error more than 3 weeks out!But it is an interesting questionhttps://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1304530197555838976?s=20 As a general rule, our polls fared quite well

astrotweeps: Pratik (@astrogandhi)

astrotweeps

First thread, Meandering Observing StoryA thread about observing the night sky with or without a telescope. 'Observing' for those of us (JA Grier @grierja) of the astro bent, is both

Michael Harriot

michaelharriot

That’s because you don’t know what you’re talking about.A thread: https://twitter.com/adam_balcazar/status/1337802598611562499 The reason you think this is because white people make the laws.Take NC for instance. It’s voting restric

Jake Novak

jakejakeny

THREAD: Don’t tell expensive political consulting firms, but “oppo research” has become useless due to the bifurcated information stream in America that leaves most people ignorant of 75% of the

ScotFax

scotfax

The latest poll from @ProgressScot actually now shows a majority back the union again. This has been missed because it's been buried in the data tables and using a radical

Who's Gonna Be Lucky Indicted #2? - Brian Cates

drawandstrike

If Trump moves to Parler, that won’t happen until after the election. He is not giving up 82 million followers plus the millions of disenfranchised Dems that see his stuff

FGB

FiftyGutBlog

We reference Thanksgiving a few times in this pod. And with everything going on with the name change controversy, I wanted to take a second to speak on it and

Jin Russell

DrJinRussell

One thing I do know after US election poll results don’t match the actual results for the second time: We need to better understand Missing Data. There are 3 types

Kurt Nice

KurtNiceHHL

People’s idea that “Trump could win”, is based solely on the ‘asshole quotient’. It’s not based on polls, or a well-run campaign or being likeable or authentic. Trump’s ‘win’ is

Libby Cierzniak

LibbyCierzniak

The first general election where women were allowed to vote was 100 years ago today. A record 93% of the 76k women registered to vote in Marion County went to

Zoë McLaren, PhD

ZoeMcLaren

Why were election polls so far off in 2020? A likely culprit is "non-response bias" in the polling data driven by people I call "poll trolls". These trolls didn't respond

Michael Rosenberg

MJRosenbergDad

Polling aficionados: here is an analysis of 2016 polling, undecideds, and realistic polling error @RealCarlAllen @ReedForecasts @AstorAaron @aedwardslevy @NateSilver538 @Nate_Cohn Inspiration credit to @RealCarlAllen who has been on this cr

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