#Polls

Guy Benson

guypbenson

I don’t think I’m interested in seeing another Quinnipiac poll anytime soon. And it seems like the extent to which RCP battleground averages are not embarrassing in certain places, it’s

TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter

Okay, so, let's dig into some of the reasons why Trump lost the election. Let's compare the exit polls - surveys of people telling who they voted for AFTER they

Yiqin Fu

yiqinfu

Seems like the 2020 prediction error *across all states* is similar to that in 2016.Fivethirtyeight's MSE was 45 in 2016 and 48 so far this time.For 12 key states, the

Nate Cohn

Nate_Cohn

Are the polls understating the number of Republicans?Probably not.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/29/upshot/polls-political-party-republicans.html In Times/Siena polling last month, registered Republicans were 12 percent likelier to respond

capitalismandfriedman

capitalismandf1

1/. I cannot even begin to explain how proud I am of my fellow citizens for rejecting the woke neo-liberal blue wave. While I distrusted the polls mightily, some part

Tom Scocca

tomscocca

Get out of ur media bubble Oh https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-president.html?0p19G=0232 I'm an expert on explaining Real America, also I have no idea how much money big-city cops get paid or what t

Election Integrity Partnership

2020Partnership

We’re seeing many different pieces of content that suggest an expectation of violence — either A) at the polls or B) in the coming hours or days. The @2020partnership has

John Scotus

John_Scotus

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-president.html

Mumbaikar VK

accountantvarun

Few reasons #BiharExitPolls may be proved wrong tomorrow :1. Exit Polls say that Chirag Paswan led LJP will get 7% votes. Let us assume that he manages to get 6-7%

Nate Cohn

Nate_Cohn

Let's talk about what's happening under the hood on some of the poll averages right nowhttps://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1291583616867274755?s=20 RCP is a particularly peculiar case. Yeah, it's a simple polling average, but

TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter

6) States where Trump's margin among Independent voters shrunk by 10 points or more relative to 2016, regardless of whether or not Trump won this voter group in the state.

Fiorella Isabel

Fiorella_im

We will share more tomorrow but here’s my prediction. I still think PA & NC *could* go red, especially PA, & MI *could* go blue. As of now here is

GOP

GOP

100 days from now, millions of Americans will head to the polls & the choice is clear…POTUS: Renegotiated NAFTA & signed the USMCA into law.Biden: Supported bad trade deals like

Sahil Kapur

sahilkapur

TEXAS (97% in): Joe Biden has more votes in 2020 than Donald Trump got there in 2016.Biden grew Clinton's TX vote from 3.88M to 5.22M (!).But Trump grew his TX

Nate Cohn

Nate_Cohn

CBS/YouGov with Biden+1 in GA and Biden+4 in NC continues a bit of a pattern we're seeing from their state polls and their MRP-based battleground tracker: very strong results for

Josh Shapiro

JoshShapiroPA

I'm doing everything in my power as your AG to protect your voting rights. What can you do? VOTE.Here are the next steps you can take whether you're voting in

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