#Polls

Chris Arnade 🐢

Chris_arnade

No. The 90% probability implies that there is a lot of scenarios where the election is not close. This election was closeIt does not imply that running a model based

Jennifer Cohn ✍🏻 📢

jennycohn1

South Carolina! Your voting machines were supplied by ES&S whose equipment has been problematic in past SC elections. Pls sign up w/ @ProtectVotes 2 photograph precinct results (posted outside polling

Julia Terruso

JuliaTerruso

We looked at state-wide registration shifts since 2016 and found that Republicans in PA are gaining voters at five times the rate of Democrats. w/ @Elaijuh @ByChrisBrennan https://www.inquirer.com/politics/pennsylvania/pennsylvania-party-vo

samememe

s_amememe___

Election 2020 summary:- Covid lockdowns give excuse for mail-in votes- Media sets summer narrative of Trump refusing to concede- Fall narratives of "red mirage" (R victory on election night that

Christian Vanderbrouk

UrbanAchievr

Get ready for a lot of "sure you were right about Trump but did you have to be so mean about it?" "You were running around with your hair on

Gummi Bear

gummibear737

PA Absentee Ballot(AB) Irregularities Deep-diveABs in PA - even if Biden received:-95% of returned Democrat votes-21% of returned Republican votes-80% of returned Independent votesHe wouldn't have as many votes as

Alex Bogdan

_AlexBogdan

Good analysis thison the recent #MRP model - to me, not-a-data-scientist, it looks like it's regressing to the mean, bringing extreme estimates closer to the national average. Also noticeable from

The Sunday Times

thesundaytimes

New polls reveal today that a majority of voters in Scotland and Northern Ireland want a new referendum on the break-up of Britainhttps://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/union-in-crisis-as-poll-reveals-voters-want-referendum-on-scottish-independ

stephanie

sclawr

have i told my nov 2016 story?it was a bad day. i was living in dc, and was sick the whole day bc i fucking KNEW shit was gonna be

Jennifer Cohn ✍🏻 📢

jennycohn1

This piece misleads. It begins with McConnell’s outdated 18% approval rating, then acknowledges he “clawed” it up to 39%, but omits that McConnell’s approval was much higher than McGrath’s, and

Jeff Giesea🌴

jeffgiesea

I've been tracking disinformation from the political and media establishment. Two examples:1. Calling elections with varying standards. The most notable example is Arizona.2. Claiming that there's no basis for suspecting

VOTE!!! steph #BLM

kdpanthera

Hi friends,I have to tweet election updates at my school newspaper for points. I know that this is a very stressful time for a lot of people, so please feel

Ariel Edwards-Levy

aedwardslevy

Because this is a good use of time on Saturday night, I want to just pull out this 2016 post-mortem from the pollsters' professional org (full disclosure, I'm a member),

Sam Freedman

Samfr

Right for those of you who'll be staying up tomorrow to watch the US elections here's what to look out for and when.... At midnight UK time polls in the

MNA

Engr_Naveed111

Senate Elections 2021 Total Seats : 104Senators Retiring: 52 | 11 Mar,2021 PTI: 14 | Retiring: 7 PMLN: 29 | Retiring: 17PPP: 21 | Retiring: 8JUIF: 4 | Retiring: 2

Bhushan

bhs7rocks

Reading #WestBengalElection2021 , my reading is as follows. It would in no way be a hung verdict. The winner would get overwhelming majority for sure. Reasons are aplenty. There are

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