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Michael Rosenberg
MJRosenbergDad
I sometimes find it surprising how we're in such bad shape with the virus, given that just about everyone I know is very conscientious about masks, distancing, avoiding indoor gatherings,
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Now that the votes are in, let's re-visit the swings in relative vote margin for states from 2016 to 2020. See this thread for a primer, which describes the swing
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A thread that every Dem strategist needs to read. My takeaways:1) Latinos and other minorities predominantly care about the same things as everyone else -- jobs2) Minorities do not care
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In preparing to examine the shifts in state/nat'l margins from 2016 to 2020, I've started by looking at 2012 --> 2016What I'm looking at is not the raw margin (i.e.
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Thread: my take on "what happened?" and how to go forward.1) The supposed defection of working-class whites and seniors from Trump never materialized. This was a mirage. Dem overperformance relative
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A thread on the voter who would enable a Democratic landslide.Now that the dust has mostly settled, we know the rough outcome of this race -- a moderate Biden win
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Polling aficionados: here is an analysis of 2016 polling, undecideds, and realistic polling error @RealCarlAllen @ReedForecasts @AstorAaron @aedwardslevy @NateSilver538 @Nate_Cohn Inspiration credit to @RealCarlAllen who has been on this cr
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