#Polls

A New Radical Centrism

a_centrism

[THREAD]1/ I might become the worst thing imaginable: A one-issue voter. (The issue: Culture wars.)If anti-blank slate science is going to get cancelled, the only remaining hope is to pack

Christopher Keelty 🏳️‍🌈

keeltyc

I'm in the minority among Lefties, but I think having the very popular two-time moderate Republican governor of Ohio speak at the DNC is smart.Democratic voters are clearly highly motivated

G. Elliott Morris

gelliottmorris

Of the many reasons why Trump's campaign to radicalize white suburbanites against Democrats is doomed to fail is that the white share of the suburban pop has dropped from 93%

Sandy Garossino

Garossino

1. 538 gave Trump a better than 1-in-4 chance of winning in 2016, so it’s hard to say they were wrong. 2. However, it IS true that the swing states

Charlotte Alter

CharlotteAlter

I have spent the last three days speaking to almost every person I've seen on the streets in Kenosha and Racine and folks... I hate to break it to you...

Jake Cookson

JakeCookson_

THREAD: @MyNBC5 is following Election Day in #Vermont and northern New York. Here’s where you can find the latest on polling locations, weather and everything in between. #vtpoli https://wptz.com/article/live-updates-election-day-in-vermo

Murad Banaji

muradbanaji

Chapter 1 of the Economic Survey 2020-21 (https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/ ): a glowing report on the govt's handling of the COVID crisis, and a case study in what happens when science is abandoned

Brendan Greeley

bhgreeley

One of the things the Federal Reserve realized over the last two years is that data can get in the way of information. We might be at that point with

Natalie Jackson

nataliemj10

Here's what you should do with any horserace poll result for the next 8 weeks:-See that it says "Biden X%, Trump Y%"-Automatically assume those are fuzzy estimates, not precise %

Allison Carter

AllisonLCarter

Thread: Everything you need to know about voting in Indiana on Election Day. Go ahead and find your polling places today. In some counties, including Marion, you can vote at

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

If you take the polls at face value right now—with Biden gaining/holding steady in AZ, WI, MI but losing ground in PA & FL, then Arizona is the tipping-point state

Michael Harriot

michaelharriot

They even gave them official-looking armbands that said “Ballot Security Task Force”The party had to sign a consent decree agreeing not to poll watch. A Trump appointee lifted it this

RemainerNow

RemainerNow

So I have been following #USElection2020 very closely last few weeks including listening to basically every episode of #Americast and @FiveThirtyEight podcasts.FWIW here is my prediction and then a following

Bryan Bennett

bryanbennett85

FWIW re: 1988, looking only at "strong" feelings about Dukakis, 34% had a very favorable (27%)/unfavorable (7%) opinion in July 1988 and 38% had strong feelings by Election Day 1988

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

I have a few thoughts on this and similar polls that ask people if they'll get vaccinated.1. In the medium run, the limiting factor is likely to be access and

Ben Woodfinden

BenWoodfinden

One of the reasons you should be sceptical of any kind of public polling of the Conservative leadership race is that if you think about it how these races shape

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