#Prediction

Ryan Reeves

investing_city

1/ A man is either a librarian or a salesman. He's retiring. What are the odds that he is a librarian?A lot of people say, "The odds that he’s a

Melanie Friedlander

Girlsurgeon

I don't know anything about what these players really think and feel but here's my prediction (worth < 2 cents):Maurkice Pouncey may love playing football, but he has always been

alfakemal 🇮🇩

abimima_

During this lunch break, I wanna share bits of my plan heading to #BGW18-#DGW19. Some of you may read it beginner-ish, but this is how I'm tinkering & I wanna

Vincent Rajkumar

VincentRK

One thing that is striking is that hotspots crater after only a small % of the total population has symptomatic COVID, and only a small % have even evidence of

Sean T at RCP

SeanTrende

My 2c on the "did the models/aggregates really miss" debate: I think we need some clarity on what these things really are. Are they meant to predict elections? Or do

Yatharth

AskYatharth

Fuck it.Can someone explain to me what is lindy Final conclusion:Taken formally, “X is lindy” means “X belongs to a class of objects whose lifetime is better modelled by a

Ben Tappin

Ben_Tappin

New preprint!Why are people’s policy opinions influenced by cues from political parties? We studied the theory that people use party cues as heuristics, stand-ins for their lack of policy information

Ross Tucker

Scienceofsport

I can only imagine the study that would need to be done to confirm this "90% accuracy" claim. In fact, I have to imagine it because I can pretty much

Nick #FPL

FplNick

//Thread//Promoted teams' historical performancesLots of talk around Twitter and Reddit about Leeds being a great team and who will do well in the Prem, but looking back at the last

Actually,

eaton

Guys who get excited about this all share one characteristic: they see themselves as the high value ‘customers‘ cities should compete for, not the co-residents who need a functioning society.https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1342007

Dr. Andrew Kniss 🌱

WyoWeeds

I tell the Toomer's Oaks story every year when I teach herbicide MOA in class.https://twitter.com/malherbologist/status/1332823030498783233 Dr. Stephen Enloe, now at Florida, was a weed scientist at Auburn at the time.

Harry Crane

HarryDCrane

Some confessions re: @NateSilver538 and @FiveThirtyEight 1. Headlines like this are a weasel move, but I don't necessarily mind it (in a vacuum).My major objection to 538/Silver is that if

Chamath Palihapitiya

chamath

The trend below can’t hold b/c 1) it will create class warfare if left unchecked and 2) many feel genuinely bad that success isn’t shared.My prediction for 2021: A new

Blake E. Reid

blakereid

There are fewer things more exquisitely annoying than Nate Silver complaining about the data literacy of a lay audience that 538 knowingly panders to with slickly produced infographics that elide

Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li, gender godmother

perdricof

a brief thought experiment on why i take terfs to be full of shitlet's say i've developed a therapy that will rebuild you from the chromosomes out as a member

Chris Kendall

ottocrat

As an EU citizen I would love to be able to engage politically and challenge the European tier of government on its political choices without every issue being spun as

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