#Prediction

PATCH

TSXcapital

Lots of climate predictions that missed their mark in 2020. Shocker! Still artic ice! Swing and a miss for the 2013 prediction 2009 prediction China would cut emissions 45% below

Dale

DaleVanDemark

49,932 new #COVID19 cases on July 1. At this rate, we'll have 1,547,892 new cases and approximately 77,000 #COVID19 deaths in July. Not a prediction, an extrapolation. 105,527 new #COVID19

Cambridge Society for Economic Pluralism

CSEPEcon

*Thread on Economics and Predictions*Fascinating ontological case from Tony Lawson:1) Past economic predictions were unsuccessful 2) Successful prediction is impossible 3) We don't need successful prediction 4) We don't want

vitalik.eth

VitalikButerin

There's a big difference between statistical models and prediction markets this US election; and it's a puzzle why this is happening.Some guesses: 1. Bets on prediction markets correctly incorporate the

Santiago

svpino

Something that may sound odd at first:We created a Machine Learning model that predicts whether a prediction from another Machine Learning model is correct.The combination of these models dramatically reduces

⟠ toast.eth 🦄

intocryptoast

Consider this scenario..I'm a lead dev of a popular project that has drawn lots of money in the prediction markets for a release goal. I Tweet out that for sure

Aaron

BobbyBigWheel

Alright prediction time! Based off of the latest CCES data put through our VARUN prediction model this is what I think the final EV will look like It has Biden

Corry Wang

corry_wang

1/ In September 1993, then-Microsoft exec Nathan Myhrvold wrote his landmark memo "Road Kill on the Information Highway", laying out a dozen-ish predictions on the rise of the internet27 years

Derek Thompson

DKThomp

I wrote about what today’s headlines and statistics are already telling us about the future of work, cities, and the economy in 2021https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/12/the-2021-post-pandemic-prediction-palooza/617332/Overall

chris w

zipkidcw

Here is who I think will be on the taxi squadThe 38 guys on the 40 man roster (including Adams but not haniger)That leaves 22 spotsThe Mariners owner already said

Celeste Labedz

celestelabedz

How do earthquake “prediction” con artists make it LOOK like they have a good track record, even though they’re totally unscientific hoaxters?Let a seismologist fill you in.Thread: First, to be

𝖑𝖔𝖑𝖎🥚| vote for Jungwon ♡

jungwonbestboi

[PREDICTION]A THREAD; I HAVE A PREDICTION THAT ALL OF THE 23 TRAINEES WILL DEBUT BUT NOT IN A SAME GROUP. THEY WILL BE DIVIDED INTO THREE.HOW WILL THAT HAPPEN?? LET

el gato malo

boriquagato

leaving aside mask efficacy, will these folks (whose model famously missed by 10-100x on hospitalizations) ever tire of making circular arguments that literally say "our model assumes X does Y,

Fiorella Isabel

Fiorella_im

We will share more tomorrow but here’s my prediction. I still think PA & NC *could* go red, especially PA, & MI *could* go blue. As of now here is

Mike Thompson

mctucsf

It's laughable to declare protein structure prediction a "solved" problem. The reported precision in the best predicted models is still 10-20 times worse than coordinate precision in typical experimental structures.https://twi

David Fisman

DFisman

I want to follow up on a thread I started but abandoned last night. I have been working on clinical prediction rules that predict death in folks with identified covid

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