#Exponential

Camara Jones

CamaraJones

The virus has one job, to reproduce itself. Without strong public health measures in place, that spread will be exponential. Consider this riddle to understand exponential spread: On day 1,

OntarioHealthCoal'n

OntarioHealthC

Ont. is experiencing exponential growth of #COVID19 cases in health care w/ nearly 50 large outbreaks (>10 cases) in LTC, retirement homes, hospitals & an outbreak among Niagara paramedics. see

Rob Anthony 🔶

RobAnthony01

Exponential growth is difficult to understand. There are several strange features which don't 'feel right'. It can lead to misunderstanding, and as a pandemic follows exponential growth, it helps to

Moebius Stripper

moebius_strip

A locked account points out:Overall Canada COVID-19 deaths:April 15 - May 15: 4,552May 15 - June 15: 2613 One thing that has been generally good for my peace of mind

Dr. Theresa Tam

CPHO_Canada

1/4 In recent weeks, the slow, steady increase in average #COVID19 daily case counts gives us cause for concern. As colder weather shifts more activities indoors, we’ll need to be

Fernando Rosas

_fernando_rosas

Exponential families have some really cool features when seen under the lens of the Legendre Transform, which provide some explanation to otherwise obscure & almost magical properties of the log-partition

David Hains

DavidHains

Today I wrote about why the new COVID-19 variants are such a threat, and will make exponential growth that much worse: (Paywalled)https://www.qpbriefing.com/2021/01/29/increased-variant-transmissibility-poses-an-exponential-threat-health-ex

zeynep tufekci

zeynep

Heard about the new variant? That it appears to be much more transmissible but not more lethal? That's true but no relief. Transmissibility is an *exponential* risk and thus a

Peter Kalmus

ClimateHuman

Why is hunger skyrocketing, when almost half of food produced is thrown into landfills and the stock market is soaring? Why is it so hard to get healthcare for all,

Richard Coleman

richard_HSE

Allen Cheng is a deeply well intentioned expert. I respect his point of view but it’s a typical tightly defined risk averse response - a thread.https://twitter.com/peripatetical/status/1346036329931444224 Allen articulates a view

Philip Kiefer

PhilipJKiefer

NOLA Health Director Avegno says that we're close to the point where hospitals around the state become saturated and need to start transferring to New Orleans, like July "Our rate

Theo Sanderson

theosanderson

1/ A sense of why, even if cases aren't rising, more restrictions may be needed outside tier 4. Here is a simple model of a region that starts off in

wretchardthecat

wretchardthecat

When risks scale linearly danger is proportional to size and things predictable. Low probability events with exponential effects are unpredictable. The more of these the more fragile the system is.

Arthur Charpentier

freakonometrics

R₀ and the exponential growth of a pandemic https://freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/61245 "people, certainly including myself, don’t seem to be able to think straight about exponential growth. What we see today are infections

Glen Peters

Peters_Glen

1. Will energy technologies grow exponentially until they reach "materiality" & then have linear growth?A common perception, but what does history say?[Short answer: Old technologies are growing exponentially (not nuclear),

Trevor Bedford

trvrb

Although the US is continuing to hit records for daily #COVID19 cases reported, the rate of exponential growth has slowed. Mortality is still catching up to increased case loads and

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