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Theo Sanderson
theosanderson
1/ E484K in the UK. We seem to see E484K on at least 6 different backgrounds. B.1.351 and P.2 are imported lineages, originating in South Africa and Brazil. B.1.1.7 and
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1/ Today has brought a lot of news about 'variants', as we discover community transmission of B.1.351 (SA variant) in the UK. But some of the people who study these
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1/ Had another look at the new Maccabi data. (tl;dr: things look good, but nothing beats a randomised trial) https://theo.io/post/2021-01-31-maccabi-2/ 2/ I extracted the data from the "MHS" Kaplan-Meier plot
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1/ The ONS infection survey has come out, and the graph below has led some people to speculate that B.1.1.7 isn't more transmissible any more. Unfortunately I don't think we
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1/ The MHRA has approved a longer gap between doses for both the AstraZeneca vaccine and the Pfizer vaccine. The latter has concerned some people. Specifically many are citing a
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1/ New PHE technical report on B.1.1.7 variant https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/948121/Technical_Briefing_VOC202012-2_Briefing_2_FINAL.pdf 2/ S dropout now appears a very good i
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1/ We have two sources of information about the spread of the new variant. The most reliable is genomics data, but this has a lag period, and most samples can't
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1/ A sense of why, even if cases aren't rising, more restrictions may be needed outside tier 4. Here is a simple model of a region that starts off in
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Any info out on the 'new strain' in phylogenetic / AA mutation terms? https://twitter.com/The_Soup_Dragon/status/1338523634109992961 Wonder if there's any chance increased circulation could be driven by false-negatives in testin
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