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#CHANCE
Gandalf the Grey Wizard of PredictIt
Gandalf_of_PI
How should one trade @kanyewest's presidential campaign in the @PredictIt presidential market? Let's assume Kanye has 0 chance (probably about .01%-.1% in reality). If one maxes no at .99 you
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Friederike Ernst
tw_tter
I would like to talk about antibody tests. There are too many people in my bubble who don't understand why a specificity of say 95% doesn't mean 95% of people
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Samu™🔰
UTDSamu
Chances created and goals scored by Man Utd in the PL this season from open play - a thread.Disclaimer: This thread may be a bit long as Man Utd have
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Nate Silver
NateSilver538
Not gonna do any model meta stuff since 1) who cares 2) everyone's forecasts are *pretty* similar. But just one stray comment on this interesting reading from the Economist team
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mcc
mcclure111
Reading techbros angry about the Google union and thinking. I used to fear tech unions cuz unions are inherently democratic and I feel any poll of the skewed set of
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Caitlin Rivers, PhD
cmyeaton
So, how are we doing with covid? Nationally, reported incidence has fallen from around 76 cases per 100,000 population per day to about 43. Better! But not yet good. Thresholds
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Just Kidding Jeez
justkiddingjeez
THREAD. @PatToomey SUBJECT: Enjoy your retirement.Dear Senator Toomey,I will be very glad to see you go. You were a complete disappointment to me as a Senator, especially as I believe
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Rod Richard II
UcancallmeCoach
Struggling to learn?Struggling to teach?Struggling to lead?Ever heard of double loop learning?No?Ok lean in... People don't really learn from being told.Some don't learn from doing either.Where people actually learn is
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Rashida Renée
evilrashida
I try not to be bitter about the Azealia Banks thing but people really threw her away but will give their precious whites, their aspirational light skins, and the awful
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🦇FairyGothMother🖤🔮🥊⚔️📗
VioletRiotGames
I am not afraid of robotics. I am afraid of what happens if we only let white affluent men control robotic programming. I've always been interested in robotics, but I
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Jack Coomber
jcoomber91
a thread on what a 10 would do for arsenal:(probably won’t finish tonight) first aspect is very clear, creating chances. the job of a 10 is providing the strikers with
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Shannon "buy stuff from ur local bookshop" Hale
haleshannon
There are 800 billionaires in the United States, doubling in just a few years.Spending $1000/day, you'd burn through $1M in 3 yearsSpending $1000/day, you'd finally spend $1B in 2,740 yearsSpending
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Charles Firth
charlesfirth
Look, I don’t want to keep going on about it, but I really think today illustrates why Labor’s case line into the next election has to focus on the idea
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John Mandrola, MD
drjohnm
Analysis of #Colcorona Trial results in #COVID19 outpatients with risk factors.I will add Bayesian take and focus on the ITT. (cite @ProfHayward here) Primary endpoint death or Hospitalization -- legitLink
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Archimedes DVM 🦉Ω
Archimedes2020
Hi-Science time. Everyone is all worried about COVID variants. And they should be. RNA viruses mutate. A lot. Most mutations don't lead to anything. But some....well...they can be bad. However.....
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Rachel Luba
AgentRachelLuba
It’s not talked about enough. People forget that when door after door was slammed in my face and people continued to tell me my gender was going to make it
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