#Overconfidence

Dear Doctors, Scientists, Public Health communicators. And Tweeters. All Civilians. All Messengers.Dear all Foot Soldiers in the war against Covid 19:Evidence that communication efforts are failing is starting to grow
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A thread on the 2 main driving factors of the market.Theres a reason only ~10% of those who participate in the markets come out profitable on a consistent basis..Trade without
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It is easy to point system failures, but in reality even 10 months into the pandemic, many analytical functions everywhere around the world are still struggling to keep up. +Suddenly
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NEW: Biden is facing rising pressure to go big, maximize this cycle-Texas Dems made their case on conf call w Biden brass Thurs-Sherrod is banging the drum for OH-IO-Schumer says
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Overconfidence Bias and InvestingHow irrational optimism and overconfidence can destroy your investments/THREAD/ 1/ Overconfidence bias is one of the cognitive psychology biases.It entails our tendency to have a misleading and
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1/ I’m studying economic and financial fallacies. Could you help me out, #Econtwitter and #Financetwitter ? I’d like to build a collection of clear-cut examples. Ground rules: 2/ Needs to
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1/7For those seeking to network, please know that many people (including myself) are willing and happy to help! In response to some requests, here are a few tips for a
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Hi #EconTwitter, time for a job market thread! I’m a PhD candidate in economics & public policy at @UMichEcon & @fordschool. I’m interested in understanding educational inequality along various dimensions,
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I have reservations about this opinion I'm seeing expressed quite a bit:"academics on campus specializing in social sciences should have been more involved to better factor in human behavior." Thread...https://www.bloomberg.co
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1) Includes ‘a very large increase in interest rates’. The empirical overconfidence here is shocking.https://twitter.com/ojblanchard1/status/1358122330329927680 2) If every important empirical macro claim you have made about inflation,
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Emotions play an important role in investing. Every investor is aware of it but is still subject to many emotional biases.Lets take a look at some of these biases: Overconfidence
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This morning, you can choke on your cereal watching this...http://conference.nber.org/sched/SI20EFBEM  Non-rational expectations, yes. Overconfidence, hell yeah!As usual you can find the streams herehttps://www.nber.org/si2020livestrea
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Trump is not an aberration.His call to #delaytheelection is not a shock to some of us. He is the fruition of decades of GOP rot, white supremacy, and overconfidence of
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1/n Earth system models are not 'just theory'. Models rest on observation and experiments that reach back over centuries. (Yay Tyndall!) Models use to assess solar geoengineering have errors that
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BE INTENTIONAL. INVEST WITHOUT RELYING ON LUCKIf you are a new investor looking at some of the impressive YTDs posted on Fintwit and are thinking that you'd like to get
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Next up is Randi Vogt to discuss Genetic and Environmental Influences on Non-Ability-Based Confidence #BGA2020 People are bad at estimating their ability, and have a disproportionate amount of confidence in
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