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NEW: Biden is facing rising pressure to go big, maximize this cycle
-Texas Dems made their case on conf call w Biden brass Thurs
-Sherrod is banging the drum for OH-IO
-Schumer says Biden told him he'll help in *non-prez battleground* Senate races > https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/11/us/politics/trump-biden-2020-election.html
-Texas Dems made their case on conf call w Biden brass Thurs
-Sherrod is banging the drum for OH-IO
-Schumer says Biden told him he'll help in *non-prez battleground* Senate races > https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/11/us/politics/trump-biden-2020-election.html
No state offers the temptation, or payoff, of TX: blocks any GOP path to the WH, this year and beyond, has most competitive House races of any state + state House/Sup Court control are crucial for redistricting
But...
it has 20 markets & Biden folks don't want to spend the $
But...
it has 20 markets & Biden folks don't want to spend the $
Biden "is cautiously optimistic about Texas, but those of us on the ground are more optimistic than they are," says @FilemonVela, an early Biden supporter who, along w other Texas Dems, made the case to @jomalleydillon this week > https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/11/us/politics/trump-biden-2020-election.html?referringSource=articleShare
Covid has upended candidate travel. But we can still track the $, which is the best tell.
Biden is not spending in GA, TX, OH or IA
But how much Trump is spending, and where he's spending it, is as good a reveal...(more)
Biden is not spending in GA, TX, OH or IA
But how much Trump is spending, and where he's spending it, is as good a reveal...(more)
Trump's offensive targets?
Last week, he only spent $110K in NM and nothing in NV or NH.
And while he did spend about $478K in MSP, he didn't buy time in any other MN markets. Also: the MSP market reaches to WI so the buy may have been mostly aimed there.
Last week, he only spent $110K in NM and nothing in NV or NH.
And while he did spend about $478K in MSP, he didn't buy time in any other MN markets. Also: the MSP market reaches to WI so the buy may have been mostly aimed there.
Just as revealing were Trump's defensive buys last week:
He only spent $150K in Michigan, entirely in the GR-Kalamazoo market (home of WOOD!) . Nothing in Detroit.
But he poured over $1.3M into Georgia and over $600K into Ohio, states where Biden isn't on the air
He only spent $150K in Michigan, entirely in the GR-Kalamazoo market (home of WOOD!) . Nothing in Detroit.
But he poured over $1.3M into Georgia and over $600K into Ohio, states where Biden isn't on the air
If Ga does tip this year, it'll be in part because of the transformation of Gwinnett Co, outside Atl:
Obama '12: 44.6
Hillary '16: 50.2
Abrams '18: 56.6
If Biden nears 60% there and shaves rural margins even a little, he probably takes the state
Obama '12: 44.6
Hillary '16: 50.2
Abrams '18: 56.6
If Biden nears 60% there and shaves rural margins even a little, he probably takes the state
