#Overconfidence

It occurs to me that many people shocked about #nayarivera ‘s disappearance aren’t well versed or experienced in water safety and lifesaving. Conspiracy theories of all stripes are popping up.
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Mere days of inaction can lead to catastrophic consequences. Let’s revisit 30 days in 1914 that could have — with intergovernmental unity — avoided WWI.Thread:On 28th June 1914, Archduke Franz
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A thread of my favorite investing lessons from poker.Shuffle up and deal… Less whining = More winning... Your bad-beat stories are FAR more interesting to yourself than others.Winners in poker,
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Today, I'm going to tell you about one of the most significant engagements of World War II. Unless you are a Submariner, it's likely that you've never heard about this
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If you are, for any reason, in the mood for a long poem about the abuse of power, I'd like to recommend Ovid's Metamorphoses. I spent the last month rereading
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1/ One year of destroyed economies, social isolation & deep social splits calls for an anniversary thread to celebrate the RT-qPCR manuscript by Christian Drosten (@c_drosten) & Victor Corman
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Motivation, Mindset, Failure and Luck Losing in order to win - thoughts for new investors[Thread]I started investing in July 2017 I had £20,000 / $25,000 savedI had realised that we
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2015-2017:- Obese + depressed- Addicted to gambling + drugs + alcohol2018:Turned my life around2018-2020:- Grew a marketing network of themed pages on Twitter to 15 million followers- Scaled an ecom
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It's the last day of the decade, so here's a THREAD on some of my wonderful experiences and learnings from CRICKET. INDIA is a country with hope !Everyone is not
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3-gatsu no Lion Thread3-gatsu no lion is My Favorite Anime. I wanted to talk about it for a long time now and so I will talk about some of the
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1/ Leveraged Trading (Robert Carver)Thread with quotes from the book"Because leverage is so dangerous [due to blow-up risk and higher trading costs], deciding how much to use is the single
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Gil stans: - Always defend Gil - Always say he’s the strongest no matter what - Force people to listen to your points about Gil - Fight over SF Gil
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The Amazons of Dahomey.It is noon on a humid Saturday in the fall of 1861, and a missionary by the name of Francesco Borghero has been summoned to a parade
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This event was organized (thanks to @ManuMoschella) in response to the events of the past year and the cancellation of last year's and this year's ISA conferences and the lost
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1/ Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (Tetlock, Gardner)"Foresight isn’t a mysterious gift bestowed at birth. It is the product of particular ways of thinking, of gathering information, of
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1/ Wealth, War, and Wisdom (Barton Biggs)"WWII was the war of the century. Its effect on occupied countries and later on the losers of the war was the ultimate test
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