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#Forecasts
Michael Bishop đ¨đŚđşđ¸
thatMikeBishop
If you have an opinion about the minimum-wage proposal, I hope you have an opinion about the effects it would have. This is a forecasting problem, but have any minimum-wage
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NWS Mount Holly
NWS_MountHolly
Itâs time for some more science on the night shift! Youâve probably seen some of our discussions on tides and coastal flooding in the past, but have you ever wondered
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Justin Sandefur
JustinSandefur
World Bank's initial C-19 forecasts were far too optimistic, particularly for poor countries. Subsequent revisions imply the number of people falling into poverty will be roughly x2 as high.+131m
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Lewis Goodall
lewis_goodall
Vallance says the models produced âare not forecasts, theyâre models which tell you how things can look. But theyâre not forecasts and they should be looked at knowing that. Hmm.
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G. Elliott Morris
gelliottmorris
I donât know about this... Forecasts in general can definitely be wrong. Assigning a 99% chance to Clinton winning, for example, was a modeling error. If you donât have the
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Natalie Jackson
nataliemj10
Here's what you should do with any horserace poll result for the next 8 weeks:-See that it says "Biden X%, Trump Y%"-Automatically assume those are fuzzy estimates, not precise %
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Jack Sillin
JackSillin
A complete "phase" of the northern and southern jet streams seems less likely this weekend, meaning the odds of a "Bomb Cyclone" are decreasing.But that doesn't mean impactful winter weather
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Scott Kupor
skupor
One of the big challenges with traditional IPOs is price discovery and public information disclosure. These go hand-in-hand, as the more complete and widely distributed issuers provide disclosures and forecasts,
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Guy Nason
jepsts
Just released my COVID English Hospitalisations Explorer & Forecaster http://shiny2.ma.ic.ac.uk/users/gnason/ Online app using data direct from @NHSEngland Enables forecasting FROM a specific date a number of days ahead that you
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Steve Ricketts
SteveRickettsSP
A bit of a rantâŚTodayâs weather models are getting better, but one thing they still struggle with is predicting the timing of the onset and ending of long-lasting weather eventsâŚ
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Claudia Sahm FULL CHECKS NOW
Claudia_Sahm
cocksure arguments on macroeconomic policy that hinge on falsified, make-believe concepts like potential output must stop. must stop. now.https://twitter.com/ojblanchard1/status/1358122339301490690 believing we (@USCBO @federalreserve @Whit
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Matthew Yglesias
mattyglesias
I used to get mad at @NateSilver538âs forecasts because I wanted to understand them in metaphysical terms, but I think if you come to terms what what heâs really saying
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Jo Michell
JoMicheII
A response from Rob Jump and me to the latest OBR forecasts and the associated commentary.Sunak's statement that âeconomic emergency has only just begunâ set the tone for press coverage
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Andrew Charlton
bertiecharlton
SEO forecasting. Some learnings. A thread... âHistory doesnât repeat itself, but it often rhymes.âThis is often the case. You can learn a lot from history, so the more historical data
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Rex Douglass
RexDouglass
This isn't overall correct. Lots of what are casted as insurmountable problems are basic modeling questions. If they are actually completely ignored, then ya, that shop has a bad model,
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Julian Brimelow
Albatrossoar
I will not swear, I will not swear. Om.This morning's medium-range forecast from the MSC for #yegwx is wrong. Worse than that, it is fiction and contradicts the very NWP
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