#Estimates

HRouge

hareng_rouge

In light of strong reports from $KLIC and $ASX last week, it might be an idea to look at Amkor $AMKR before it reports earnings tonight on MondayBoth reported strong

Chris Giles

ChrisGiles_

UPDATE: following the latest ONS figures, my best estimate of the number of excess UK deaths linked to Covid-19 since mid-March is89,300The increase in the second wave has been slower,

Alex Bogdan

_AlexBogdan

Good analysis thison the recent #MRP model - to me, not-a-data-scientist, it looks like it's regressing to the mean, bringing extreme estimates closer to the national average. Also noticeable from

James Munday

JDMunday

Our preprint on the impact of reopening schools on reproduction number in England is now available online: https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/comix-schools.html. With @Jarvis_Stats @amyg225 @kerrylmwong @KevinvZandvoort @sbfnk + John Ed

Carl T. Bergstrom

CT_Bergstrom

A somewhat technical thread about measuring vaccine efficacy.We're used to the notion that certain properties of tests for disease depend on prevalence: positive and negative predictive value do, for example,

Adam Olsen

AdamPOlsen

For years leaders in the Southern #GulfIslands and Juan de Fuca areas have been advocating to be included in the Island Coastal Economic Trust (@ICET_BC) which would allow them to

Adam Kucharski

AdamJKucharski

I'm increasingly seeing people quote a single 'global' estimate of infection fatality risk (IFR) for SARS-CoV-2 & use this value to try and make conclusions about specific countries. But, of

Dr Nisreen Alwan 🌻

Dr2NisreenAlwan

OMG! Finally we have some surveillance estimates of #LongCovid. My call since July to #CountLongCovid has been answered by @ONS. They report similar estimates to what I expected: 1 in

Andrew Wilson

AndrewWilson

Thread: I think something is going on here that merits a balanced & thoughtful perspective from all parties. It concerns the relative take up & therefore benefit to the economy

David Fisman

DFisman

Updated UK analysis on importance of kids and schools in COVID-19 transmission. Full report available at https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/948617/s0998-tfc-update-to-4-november-2

Pfluft

PloederlM

1/ Our new paper about the minimal important difference (MID) of antidepressants (AD). Because there is a paywall, here the main findings in a thread.https://ebm.bmj.com/content/early/2021/02/15/bmjebm-2020-111600.full 2/ First of all, Mich

Michael Otsuka

MikeOtsuka

Excellent linked piece about re-opening universities, co-authored by a professor of global health at Duke. This is one of my favourate paragraphs. 1/https://time.com/5867395/will-universities-be-next-covid-19-tinderboxes I've asked this

Noah Kaufman

noahqk

Here's my top 5 things to know about these types of estimates of the reduction in economic growth from climate action: (1/6)https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1327009233720799234 1. They don't account for our ability to

Mark Corver

markcorver

UCAS predicted grades deserve more attention in resolving #alevel2020 problems in university entry. Correctly handled, they give accurate and testable estimates of what students with a firm offer would likely

Kathy Fallon Lambert

kflambert

1/7 The TRECH project analyzed the potential air quality & active mobility benefits of several hypothetical #TCI policy scenarios to inform program design. In science as in life, content &

Caitlin Rivers, PhD

cmyeaton

So, how are we doing with covid? Nationally, reported incidence has fallen from around 76 cases per 100,000 population per day to about 43. Better! But not yet good. Thresholds

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