#Estimates

Natalie Jackson

nataliemj10

Here's what you should do with any horserace poll result for the next 8 weeks:-See that it says "Biden X%, Trump Y%"-Automatically assume those are fuzzy estimates, not precise %

CUFFH #CancelRent

CUFFH

The #FlushingRezoning is racist & violates the Fair Housing Act. It would deepen segregation in the most segregated city in the U.S. & displace local families, who are largely nonwhite

Philipp Heimberger

heimbergecon

Output gap nonsense: European Commission is doing it again in its most recent forecast: producing crisis-driven, pro-cyclical downward estimates in economic slack (measured in terms of output gaps). This will

Roderick Campbell

R_o_d_C

*Sizzling* new #Watergate documents show taxpayers & rivers were ripped off. Kudos to @Senator_Patrick for epic FoI battle.After 2 year cover up, only explanations left are incompetence or wrongdoing by

Dr Duncan Robertson

Dr_D_Robertson

Why are there two estimates of R issued today, and why are they so different? The first estimate, the Government estimate, comes from SAGE (the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies).

modest proposal

modestproposal1

DFAST assumptions around credit card losses were based on double digit unemployment and no government stimulus. With mid single digit unemployment and potential line of sight to vaccinations, estimated losses

The Wolf of Hawaii

WolfOfHawaii

Going big on semiconductors this week. Looking to make initial entry into $UMC, $MOSY, $EMKR, $PXLW, $ASX, $NPTN, $LPTH, annddd my favorite set up is $HIMX... $HIMX ready to go

calvinfroedge

calvinfroedge

Airbnb estimates TAM at 3.4T, 1.8B for short term stays, 210B for long term stays, 1.4T for experiences. These estimates seem high as global hotel revenue ~600B 2019.What they don't

Joelle M. Abi-Rached, MD PhD

jabirached_

1.6 Numbers in #Lebanon are mysterious, at best impressionistic (they require a Kabbalistic interpretation!); from the population estimates (from 4 to 10 million), to the Banque du Liban's "other assets"

Ibraheem Thurial B.

Afghan_Policy

Excellent Thread. I will add some extra information on listed groups operating in Afghanistan.https://twitter.com/asfandyarmir/status/1275884886839005184 HAQQANI GROUP:HQN strength is estimated at 3,000 to 5,000 (conservative IMO)Looks like

Peter Ganong

p_ganong

If stimulus checks were larger, would people spend more? Natural starting point: how were the checks that went out in April and May spent?tldr: we have no idea estimates all

Roger Pielke Jr.

RogerPielkeJr

Good news and bad news on the Biden Administration's efforts to consider a "social cost of carbon" via an Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gaseshttps://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-ac

Hugh Klein

macro_football

Given the rumors about Ozan Kabak to Liverpool, I thought I'd do a brief thread on his isolated impact, which has always made me curious, given how highly rated he

Marc Korman

mkorman

The MD Board of Revenue Estimates (Comptroller, Treasurer, Budget Sec) released updated budget projections today. The chat is below showing current year and the next two yrs of fiscal predictions.

Greg Muttitt

FuelOnTheFire

I've been asked whether @Shell's new #NetZero plan is credible. Not at all IMO.@BP's last year, though imperfect, was credible for simple reason that it committed to reduce oil &

Kathryn Anne Edwards

keds_economist

In September, 865,000 women over 20 left the labor force in a single month. I've struggled to explain just how large and shocking that number is. So I thought I'd

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