#Polls

Lewis Goodall

lewis_goodall

4 mins to the first exit polls...#ElectionNight CNN exit polls:Most important to your vote The economy-34%Racial inequality- 21%Covid- 18%Crime-11%Healthcare-11%This will be updated throughout the evening but prima facie good

Vanessa McCray

vanmccray

I’m out at polls talking to voters this morning in Gwinnett County, Ga. There are about two dozen voters waiting in line for polls to open at my first stop

Rich "The People's Pundit" Baris

Peoples_Pundit

Thread on Exit Polls and Voter Analysis: Neither the right or the left should put much, if any stock, in either.Over the years, after witnessing one horrible blunder after another

Keifer

DannyVegito

posting @JeffRosenstock lyrics every hour until the polls close hourly @JeffRosenstock lyrics until the polls closefrom “HELLHOOOOLE” posting @jeffrosenstock lyrics every hour until the polls closefrom June 21st posting @jeffrosenstock

M’BlockU

rodimusprime

I can't stress this enough. We don't know that the polls were "wrong" or that anyone was lying to pollsters.Another way to look at this is that we are finding

Donald J. Trump

realDonaldTrump

.@FoxNews, @QuinnipiacPoll, ABC/WaPo, NBC/WSJ were so inaccurate with their polls on me, that it really is tampering with an Election. They were so far off in their polling, and in

David Chapman

davidchapman141

THREAD: Why the polls are wrong. Turnout models! The consensus across polling and punditry is very high turnout. Nate Silver predicts 62% turnout. Some polls have the percentage of likely

PollWatch

PollWatch2020

1) Our Analysis of PennsylvaniaVOTER REGISTRATIONTrump won PA by 44,292 in 2016.Since 2016, Republicans have closed the Dem-Rep voter registration gap by 229,381 (549,547 since 2008). This is significant. 2)

Don't put down your tools

EllenKushner

Wow. All my @swingleft phone banking just paid off today. I called a man in Gadsden County, Florida. When I asked if he supported Biden, he wasn't comfortable naming names;

Nate Cohn

Nate_Cohn

One small casualty of this election: the RealClearPolitics average. It's never been perfect, but I've cited it in the past as a simple no-questions-asked average. Unfortunately, that's not possible anymore.

Jed Shugerman

jedshug

Worried about whether Pennsylvania voters will return their absentee ballots? Friends calling PA voters say that PA Dems have gotten the message about mail problems, and they decided to vote

#FailedState

Wolots3

Might as well do a US election thread First off, some basic stuff for those that don't pay attention to these things US Presidents aren't elected via popular vote and

Marc Caputo

MarcACaputo

1/4 Who will win Florida? I really don't know. My feeling changes by the minute, interview & data set, the latter 2 of which I've swum in. I can see

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

One reason "shy Trump voters" doesn't make as much sense as you'd think as an explanation for polling errors this year is that Republican candidates for Congress generally outperformed their

Lunna Lopes

LunnaLo

The polling twitter conversation re: issue polling makes me think of my market research days. I think people want polling to give them an "Answer" when it is best suited

BarrDeceivedForTrump

darinp2

(THREAD) I see quite a few people (mostly Trumpsters) claiming that the polls were horrible in 2016, even going so far as to claim that 2016 proves polls don't work.First

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