#Polls

Matthew Yglesias

mattyglesias

The polls were wrong. Models are worthless. Here’s how Dems blew it by trusting metrics rather than taking the common sense step of doing things that intuitively appeal to me,

John Bauman

bauman_john

UNC FOOTBALL THREAD//A little perspective for UNC fans this a.m...I've discussed in prior threads the connection to the UNC program now vs. Clemson early in Dabo's rise to powerI think

Christopher Bouzy

cbouzy

We are no longer dealing with hypotheticals; we have actual data. In 2016, Back turnout was low, and Hillary lost. In 2017, Doug Jones won his Senate seat because Black

Saket Gokhale

SaketGokhale

Strange he’d say that unless @DrSJaishankar is too junior in the cabinet to be aware of the fact that Ajit Doval has been playing host to Chhota Rajan at Tihar

M’BlockU

rodimusprime

1. Biden won working class voters in every demographic except WHITE working class voters.2. Why not specifically say what it is that Trump does that appeals to those voters? Why

Marc-André Argentino

_MAArgentino

1/ "More than 1 in 3 Americans believe a ‘deep state’ is working to undermine Trump: NPR/Ipsos poll finds widespread concerns about the spread of false information, despite some believing

Modern Labour

modernuklabour

The 2019 general election was a disaster for the Labour party. Entirely predictable — and predicted, which made it even more painful to see decent, compassionate candidates who genuinely care

Keiran Pedley

keiranpedley

Some thoughts on Starmer's numbers today. One of those where there is a case for and a case against. Quick thread. 1/ Case for.- Net satisfaction scores remain positive. 40%

Robin Goodfellow

R_Good_Fellow

Good Morning, here's what I've gathered.Cali called it for Biden at 8:04 - polls closed at 8.Same scenario with Washington and Oregon - called for Biden minutes after poll closure.

Alex

alex_chienne

Last US election a lot of people I saw didn’t really understand how the system worked and what to look for. Here’s a thread on that for dummies The

Arun Chaudhary

ArunChaud

I'm one of those who frets that the election will be much closer than the polls indicate. That in a world where non-voters are never targeted by Dems, huge turnout

Danny Barefoot

dannybarefoot

Today, we are conducting a focus group with voters who leaned Biden but flipped to Trump in the last two weeks of the election. Basically we had a ton of

Marshall Manson

marshallmanson

Some friends in the UK and Europe have asked for suggestions on what to watch for in US election returns tomorrow night / Wed. morning. Here is a thread. And

Ari Berman

AriBerman

Georgia House Republicans just introduced a bill to ban early voting on Sundays prior to election, when Black churches do Souls to the Polls get out the vote drives A

Omar Baddar عمر بدّار

OmarBaddar

THREAD -- Today, Americans who want to save this country from the malevolent authoritarian narcissist are at every disadvantage: (1) They believe in science, so they’re more reluctant to brave

Teri Kanefield

Teri_Kanefield

People are spreading the word that voters turned away at the polls should ask for a provisional ballot.In some states, voters must take additional steps before a provisional ballot is

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