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Simon Lee
SimonLeeWx
I think it's irresponsible of @UNFCC to not only report the Arctic Amplification-weak jet stream theory as an accepted fact (which it isn't: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-019-0662-y) but also to try and claim
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Because of the time-lagged ensemble approach used by the Met Office vs. the "burst" approach used by ECMWF, the January C3S update of GloSea5 only had a max. ~40% probability
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Using the Feb 2018 "Beast from the East" SSW to illustrate the point that the zonal winds at 60°N do not generally reverse to easterlies much below 20-30 hPa. In
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