TRUMP 406
BIDEN 132
analysis State by State will be linked below - [THREAD] under development

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2) we win Pennsylvania
Trump 56%
Biden 44%
3) Colorado:
Trump 57%
Biden 43%
4) in 2016 Virginia had:
Trump 45%
The Witch 50%

I estimate in 2020 Trump will have 8% more.
so Virginia 2020:
Trump 53%
Biden 47%
5) New Jersey:
Trump 52%
Biden 48%
6) New Mexico:
Trump 54%
Biden 46%
7) Oregon:
Trump 52%
Biden 48%
8) Washington State:
Trump 51%
Biden 49%
9) Texas:
Trump 64%
Biden 36%

(in TX, Trump results can be even higher)
10) Ohio:
Trump 58%
Biden 42%
11) Florida:
Trump 56%
Biden 44%
12) Maine:
Trump 55%
Biden 45%
13) Connecticut:
Trump 52%
Biden 48%
14) Michigan:
Trump 56%
Biden 44%
15) NY State:
That is very difficult.
result in NY State can be around:
Trump 48%
Biden 52%
16) Maryland:
Trump 51%
Biden 49%
17) how did I get these numbers?
I analyzed the 2016 results,
added between 10% to 15% to Trump - related to a number of factors:
- Trump achievements
- silent majority
- honest Americans fed up with riots & Antifa
- Dems behavior with Kavanaugh
- Nanzy craziness
18) California:
very difficult.
the margin in 2016 was too high: 28.8%
Trump 32.8%
The Witch 61.6%

but I don't discard the possibility:
Miracles do happen!

I can't make a forecast on the outcome in California.
19) as much as I would LOVE to see California RED Again - and Great Again! - in my analysis I preferred to stay more grounded as possible.
The margin in 2016 was too high: 28.8%

I think Trump should have done many BIG Rallies in California.
20) Wisconsin:
Trump 59%
Biden 41%
21) Minnesota:
Trump 57%
Biden 43%
22) North Carolina:
Trump 59%
Biden 41%
23) South Carolina:
Trump 63%
Biden 37%
24) Minnesota:
Trump 58%
Biden 42%
25) by the way:
in 2016 I made a forecast, based on two scenarios:

scenario A:
Trump 299
HRC 239

scenario B:
Trump 315
HRC 223

and guess what:
the actual result of the 2016 election was
Trump 306
HRC 232

pretty close, I would say...
26) much better than the New York Times, WaPo and CNN...
and way better than Fox News, too.
27) I can prove the claims at #25:
I have evidence, screenshots and links with dates.
28) in 2016 I used the same methodologies I'm using today,
therefore I am quite confident the actual results in 2020 will be quite close to my forecast at #1.

If also California flips RED, well...
even better!

but California is impossible to predict, as I wrote at #18
29) Maryland is too close to call, as you see at #16:
Trump 51%
Biden 49%

Therefore I called Trump victory in Maryland, but that is uncertain.
Maryland has 10 Electoral votes.

This has to be considered.
30) New Hampshire:
Trump 56%
Biden 44%
31) tomorrow morning (ET)
I will prepare a Map for a Scenario (B),
which considers a Trump Victory also in California.

why?
I received great feedback from Patriots in California,
way better than I expected, so... why not?
maybe a Victory in California IS possible!
You can follow @GregRubini.
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