#Forecasting

Whyvert

whyvert

Lee Kuan Yew was a realist on IQ, heritability, race differences, and dysgenics.Was he the only prominent one who didn't get cancelled or fired?E.g a 1983 speech quoting up-to-date findings

Scott Irwin

ScottIrwinUI

1. I am intentionally going to propose a controversial hypothesis in this thread. My hypothesis is that #pftour20 is more valuable now than in the past due to the change

Beatrice Cherrier

Undercoverhist

1/Since 2008, calling out use of (some) econ models by central banks has become as steady as Big-Ben chimeBut what do we know about import, production & use of econ

Jawwad Farid

rebootdude

1/ The end of this year marks the 3rd decade I have spent working with data, financial modeling, actuarial science and forecasting. My first formal project at the intersection of

Osaretin Victor Asemota

asemota

This same time year, I started reading the book "Superforecasting" at the beginning of the year. I had not even dreamt of anything called a pandemic. It made me understand

Bob Wachter

Bob_Wachter

1/ Covid (@UCSF) Chronicles, Day 263Tonight a brief update on our local situation, as 5 Bay Area counties announce that the region will adopt CA’s stay-at-home orders, even before we

James Thomas

JamesThom07

Lot of people are (probably correctly) piling into Call Options and buying stocks of $ETSY $PINS + $AMZN, forecasting a big festive quarter of sales.What I want to know is,

Ali Afridi

AliKAfridi

New Post: A compilation of Mental Models that can be leveraged for startup & venture thesis ideationhttps://medium.com/@AliKAfridi/systematic-ideation-for-startups-venture-theses-77b672ac1ae1?sk=ce4fb993462e84b48b5c16c08d3abb4e Since 20

rick

ricky_short

The other day, after seeing this tweet about a cover of Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald, I realized I had no idea about the song or about the events that

Funranium Labs

funranium

The first thing to keep in mind with a rocket launch is that you don't get to do a lot of "aiming" between pressing IGNITION and ABORT. Aiming, AKA mission

James Stephenson

ICannot_Enough

Potential Tesla earnings surprises A long thread for Tesla The usual Tesla earnings wildcards include:Regulatory Credits FSD Revenue Forex Impacts Restructuring Costs... but 2 more unexpected wildcards could make a

The Economist

TheEconomist

Which races to watch, the role of postal votes and what happens if Donald Trump declares victory prematurely—our overview for election night. THREAD (1/11) https://econ.st/2HQyJQL The state that matters most

Nolan Meister

Nolan_Meister

Looking toward late this weekend, there is a broad consensus among models that a "ski jump" trough will be entering the far southern Plains by late Sunday night. Despite some

Alexander Stahel

BurggrabenH

1/ Let us share some fundamentals on #gold price, given latest price action has been testing nerves of bulls after 50% increase post 2018.Thread @Mintgecko @TheLastDegree @GMoneyResearch @AdamMancini4 2/ View

Oleg Urminsky

OlegUrminsky

I have reservations about this opinion I'm seeing expressed quite a bit:"academics on campus specializing in social sciences should have been more involved to better factor in human behavior." Thread...https://www.bloomberg.co

Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌

RachelBitecofer

1. Ok, I'm liking @RepSeanMaloney "I sure as hell didn't win 5 Xs as a gay guy in a Trump district"Much more imp he just correctly pointed out that even

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