#Forecasting

Guy Nason

jepsts

Just released my COVID English Hospitalisations Explorer & Forecaster http://shiny2.ma.ic.ac.uk/users/gnason/ Online app using data direct from @NHSEngland Enables forecasting FROM a specific date a number of days ahead that you

Adam Kucharski

AdamJKucharski

Why do COVID-19 modelling groups typically produce ‘scenarios’ rather than long-term forecasts when exploring possible epidemic dynamics? A short thread... 1/ Coverage of modelling is often framed as if epidemics

Pee Dee Weather

PeeDee_WxSC

Prepare for the volatile weather pattern we are entering. You may soon hear a lot of "this came out of nowhere" regarding storm threats on weather models. Fact is, if

Jasper Tjaden

JasperTjaden

1/3 Sharing our @IOM_GMDAC @UNmigration experiences from exploring Google and Facebook data for #migration #forecasting over recent months: A tale of high policy expectations, promising results....BUT...a long road ahead for

G. Elliott Morris

gelliottmorris

I don’t know about this... Forecasts in general can definitely be wrong. Assigning a 99% chance to Clinton winning, for example, was a modeling error. If you don’t have the

Kate Payne

hellokatepayne

With a wind gust of 112 mph recorded in Des Moines, the #derechoiowa reached wind speeds of a Category 3 Hurricane. ⁦@DavePitt⁩ reports on where the prediction & warning systems

James Stephenson

ICannot_Enough

I have updated my $TSLA forecast with the reported Q4 deliveries.Q4 looks like a ~$2.3B GAAP profit to me, including an unusual ~$1.6B benefit (deferred tax asset from prior years'

taylor

tdavidson

Here’s a recap on my year, professionally at @foresighthq 7,500+ people from 90 countries downloaded a free tool for financial modeling athttps://foresight.is/models Completed 98 custom / semi-custom financial models

Antoine FLAHAULT

FLAHAULT

1/21. Dec 13 to Dec 19 - Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories. Dashboard: https://renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epidemic-Forecasting/_w_5f9d45a0/_w_8da5e02a/?tab=world_mapData: https://ecdc.europa

Dr Sara Hastings-Simon

S_HastingsSimon

Leaving aside the errors in assigning all the issues with Ontario's electricity system to renewables, I want to warn the people of Alberta not to use data flash drives because

Chris Arnade 🐢

Chris_arnade

No. The 90% probability implies that there is a lot of scenarios where the election is not close. This election was closeIt does not imply that running a model based

Gershom Gorenberg

GershomG

Everyone who writes politics in Israel is writing about how Gideon Saar will or will not affect Netanyahu & the whole political scene.Pro tip: No one has a clue. Nothing

em dash aficionado

imjacobnotjames

Yesterday and today represent great examples of the tricky business of forecasting freezing drizzle vs. snow/ice crystals. Both soundings valid at 10AM each day from the 12 UTC 3-km NAM.

Space Weather Watch

spacewxwatch

2:30CT SPACE WX UPDATE: (1/X) If you're outside checking for aurora, you probably shouldn't be--we haven't posted many updates tonight about geomagnetic activity because it hasn't changed much. Since the

John Cowgill

JohnCowgill

Honestly responding to the mounds of well-intentioned-but-ultimately-bad feedback every founder receivesSaying "i know you might think that's a good idea or have seen it work elsewhere, but here's why we

The Hoarse Whisperer

TheRealHoarse

This is the moment in the polling cycle I hate the most.I worked with consumer data for years and years. That requires some science but also some judgment and wisdom.When

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