#Forecasting

Tim Latimer

TimMLatimer

1/In 2020, peak demand for oil has become a hot topic. Estimates range from a peak in 2040s to the peak having already passed. But the Trillion $$ Energy Transition

Juan Cambeiro💡

juan_cambeiro

Reposting to make some minor corrections. Building on @kristjanmoore and using info available up to today, I assign a 90% probability to at least one of the new variants being

Matt Clancy

mattsclancy

Learning curves are a popular model of tech progress. Basically they say doubling cumulative production -> consistent price declines. E.g., every doubling of total installed solar capacity leads to a

P Carew

ClimateGeoGND

The Washington State legislative session is fairly short, we have until April 25th to encourage #ClimateAction in our state. Here are some important climate/sustainability bills moving through the chambers 1/#climate

Alexis C. Madrigal

alexismadrigal

As cases exploded in the U.S., I kept discounting them in my mind: "Well, treatments have improved. Maybe the death rate won't be nearly as high as the summer."Then I

Brandon

blar51

So @KeirstenBrager got me thinking let me dedicate a thread to what a Sales Engineer is. If you got questions feel free to ask here or dm. Most people fear

Linch

LinchZhang

Oh man, so many things:On hospitalizations1. I thought US hospitals would be more overloaded.2. I thought hospital overload would be a bigger factor on death rate3. I thought ventilator access

Peter Frank

PeterFr89977258

1/One mistake that occurs regularly in the analyses on #Orban’s #veto on the #EU-budget is that they start calculating the outcomes of options for *Hungary*. This is understandable as mature

Jon Mellon

jon_mellon

All of them! But here's some examples from my work and othershttps://twitter.com/ethanbdm/status/1267494825957429253 Everything to do with Polityhttps://twitter.com/benwansell/status/1229386394658836480?s=21 Aggregate electoral turnout

David Fisman

DFisman

Vaccine prioritization in phase II in Ontario: the province has put out a framework, which seems not unreasonable (https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-releases-list-of-those-eligible-for-covid-19-vaccine-under-phase-2-1.5264702?cache=ngyhfzx

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

nntaleb

101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 1That correlation is a measure of relationship betw 2 variables. It is very rarely so.Few understand how correlation requires 1) no subsampling, 2) strict

Peg Leg

tipvortice

Let’s have a thread on this Final Root Cause analysis. http://www.caiso.com/Documents/Final-Root-Cause-Analysis-Mid-August-2020-Extreme-Heat-Wave.pdf To start, I want to say that in aggregate I don’t disagree with the finding that there

Ahcumfaegovan

bobmcphail

My at-a-glance mega thread on the accounts and my immediate thoughts & opinions, it is kinda in the order as they appear in the accounts - there may be errors

richiemashiko

richiemashiko

1/ Over the weekend, @shesbirdie hit $1M in sales all time and year to date.We still have a long way to go, but I want to celebrate by sharing some

Shefaly Yogendra, PhD

shefaly

In these first two days of #RWRI14/ #RWRI my key takeaways relate to avoidance of ruin, #risk layering, dynamic assessment of risk, and fat tail risk awareness.For us practitioners, these

Tay

TaylorQuant

Novacyt.Coming clean. There's a deceit that goes around the social media game when it comes to pushing stocks and many of us are admittedly a part of that. #NCYT #ALNOV

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