Few reasons #BiharExitPolls may be proved wrong tomorrow :

1. Exit Polls say that Chirag Paswan led LJP will get 7% votes. Let us assume that he manages to get 6-7% votes. But Exit Polls presume that damage due to LJP will be equal to BJP as well as JDU. But fact is LJP...
(1/4)

... hasn't announced a single candidate against BJP. All their candidates are against JDU & other NDA allies. Infact Chirag has asked his supporters to vote for BJP on other seats. So, whatever will be the damage due to LJP, it will be entirely to JDU & none to BJP.
(2/4)

2. Exit Polls assume that LJP will break votes of NDA. That means had their been no LJP candidate, then those who have voted for LJP would have voted for NDA. While not writing off this possibility, in my & @omkar_BJP s Opinion, LJP will break the anti NDA votes more than..
(3/4)

... Pro-NDA votes. In other words, LJP will get those votes who would have voted for UPA in the absence of LJP candidate.

Further, I would like to say that BJP had won 53 seats in 2015. And I am pretty sure they will win atleast 70 now. So, there won't be any actual loss to BJP.