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stuart mcdonald
ActuaryByDay
Latest @ICNARC report on intensive care admissions and outcomes has been published. 17,015 patients have been admitted to ICU so far in the second wave, significantly more than the 10,938
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Latest ONS deaths data (to week ending 1 January) has been released.2,115 more deaths were recorded in-week compared to the 5-year average. That’s 27% higher. *In total there have been
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Latest ONS deaths data (to week ending 25 December) has been released.3,516 more deaths were recorded in-week compared to the 5-year average. That’s 45% higher. *Year to date there have
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A short thread to summarise the latest weekly intensive care report from @ICNARC.The report covers 7,677 second wave patients admitted by 17 December.It is likely we’ll see more admissions in
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Latest ONS deaths data (to week ending 27 November) has been released.2,099 more deaths were recorded in-week compared to the 5-year average. That’s 20% higher.Year to date there have been
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The latest @ICNARC intensive care weekly report has been published. A short thread to summarise, including a link to the full report. The report covers critical care admissions to 20
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Latest ONS deaths data (to week ending 6 November) has been released.1,481 more deaths were recorded in-week compared to the 5-year average.Year to date there have been 13% more deaths
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Some comments on excess mortality in the second wave, which seems to be hotly contested at the moment.Headline: there is excess mortality.ONS data shows us that death numbers have been
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So, back into lockdown. What happens now?In March we saw evidence of an abrupt fall in the transmission rate.COVID hospital admissions kept rising for just over a week after lockdown
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Important as this is, a reminder that is has no effect whatsoever on excess deaths, which is the definitive way to measure the impact of the pandemic. In fact it’s
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Latest @ICNARC report on intensive care admissions and outcomes was released last night.Report includes 10,421 patients, with outcomes for 9,995 of them.A quick summary. /1https://twitter.com/icnarc/status/1281694384417890312 Daily admissio
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There’s been a bit of an unpleasant and inaccurate narrative over recent days that the majority of COVID-19 deaths were people who were “at death’s door” in any case. That
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