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Rajiv Sethi
rajivatbarnard
We look at daily predictions for 13 battleground states over a seven month period, comparing @TheEconomist model and @PredictIt Here are the time paths of predictions, you can see large
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This is an important comment by @sndurlauf and @heckmanequation (thread)https://twitter.com/BrendanNyhan/status/1287089470152552450 Here's the key point: bias in initial contacts can lead to misleading inferences based on use of force c
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