Everyone who writes politics in Israel is writing about how Gideon Saar will or will not affect Netanyahu & the whole political scene.
Pro tip: No one has a clue. Nothing that happens here is expected.
This country exists to make fools of would-be prophets....
@kampeas @lrozen

Go back to the days after the first election in 2019. Find me a pundit who expected that at the last minute Netanyahu would fail to form a coalition & we'd have not 1 but 2 more elections.
Total shocker...

For that matter, find me someone who predicted that Gantz would suddenly decide to run for Knesset speaker last year, split his party, join Netanyahu.
Too absurd to even consider forecasting...

No one, repeat no one, predicted that passing the direct election law in the 90s would shatter the big parties...

The oracles speak gibberish. The prophets have their lines to heaven crossed. Sit back, hold on to your seats. The only certainty is the unexpected.

PS. I don't blame the people making predictions. They have to eat, & it's not easy as a journalist, and their editors want prophecy. "Tell the readers what will happen..."
It was easier before digital archives, when it was harder to find failed prophecies.