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2:30CT SPACE WX UPDATE:
(1/X) If you're outside checking for aurora, you probably shouldn't be--we haven't posted many updates tonight about geomagnetic activity because it hasn't changed much. Since the start of our shock, solar winds and densities have trailed off.
(1/X) If you're outside checking for aurora, you probably shouldn't be--we haven't posted many updates tonight about geomagnetic activity because it hasn't changed much. Since the start of our shock, solar winds and densities have trailed off.
(2/X) Arguably, the most important factor in seeing aurora is the geomagnetic activity which can be interpolated from the magnetic orientation of the plasma hitting Earth. A more negative southward component of the magnetic field "Bz" is required for auroral activity.
(3/X) Our Bz has been positive tonight, and without the right magnetic orientation, it's hard to get geomagnetic conditions right. Can't pop your popcorn if the oil is too cold. It doesn't help that the media like @Thrillist led you on too.
(4/4) We hope the media understands the value in conveying the uncertainty about forecasting aurora to the public going forward and will be careful to consult space weather professionals before making claims that are seen by millions of people. @Thrillist @dlukenelson
