#Divergence

Sam Freedman

Samfr

Right time for predictions for 2021. I do this every January 1st and last year’s were pretty much all correct. So it’s all downhill from here but I’ll do my

David Phinnemore

DPhinnemore

All seems set now for the UK-EU ‘Trade and Cooperation Agreement’ (TCA) to come into force on 1 January 2021That’s the same day as the full entry into force of

Sticky Shoe

shoe_sticky

The reason a reactionary, cyclical analysis of politics is wrong isn't because "muh fascism" or "muh morals", it's because it doesn't account for the fundamental systemic changes wrought by the

The Leave Alliance

LeaveHQ

I do not think that the UK ever ventured any credible plans. All those put forward by the Tories were based on misreadings of how the system worked and none

Justin Wolfers

JustinWolfers

Lemme tell you a little about why I'm not putting much weight on prediction markets this election. The short version is that the main US market, @PredictIt, is structured in a

Rui Ma 马睿

ruima

So I wrote this super extensive thing on Ant for our @TechBuzzChina paid newsletter subscribers, but I don't think they'll mind if I share it with y'all, so here it

asif

aj_raja

PAKISTAN-INDIA WATER ISSUES – HOW INDIA STOPPED WATER IN PAKISTAN's CANALS IN 1948ThreadAfter partition in 1947, the water system was also bifurcated between Pakistan n India. India cheated Pakistan when

Yair Wallach

YairWallach

There is a growing chasm between Jewish liberals in the UK and North America on the IHRA. The Reform movement now warns against codifying the IHRA "into policy that would

Caroline Flint

CarolineFlint

Good panel discussion this morning at launch of @UKandEU report on Brexit and Manufacturing. Video will be available soon but here's a few of my points. Covid-19 has blown away

Stephen Reicher

ReicherStephen

It's good that debate has moved on from whether Scotland is currently doing better on COVID (hard to deny) to why.And it's true that this is a complex issue -

Otavio (Tavi) Costa

TaviCosta

Fairly simple.All we need is 5 or 6 more record breaking nonfarm payroll gains to justify today’s valuations. Hard to see the labor markets going back to normal any time

evo-devo

Xiaojie_Qiu

We presented preliminary results of a continuous vector field approach, dynamo, a while ago. Now I am proud to tell you that we have established the full-fledged theory, and proved

ScottishPanda

PandaScottish

[thread] a simple question What are you prepared to sacrifice for brexit ?Boris Johnson and his historic wordshttps://twitter.com/ByDonkeys/status/1184738823420502016 But you also look at othershttps://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2017-12-

Julienne LaChance

JulienneLaChan1

I’m curious why RL people don’t spend more time thinking about collective behaviors (/swarm dynamics). We can drive a system with only a few simple, local rules – and watch

Clément Canonne

ccanonne_

Stuff I wish I had known sooner: "Pinsker's inequality is cancelled," a thread. If you want to relate total variation (TV) and Kullback-Leibler divergence (KL), then everyone, from textbooks to

Dr Emma Hodcroft

firefoxx66

A case of the '#SouthAfrica' variant has been detected in the UK. There's also talk about a 501Y mutation in Wales.It's getting confusing!First: all 3 of these 501Y mutations are

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