#Uncertainty

sunny

thePiggsBoson

Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle (a thread):In Feb 23, 1927, physicist Werner Heisenberg outlined his new principle in a 14-page letter to Wolfgang Pauli. In March, he submitted his paper for publication.

William MacAskill

willmacaskill

My latest (academic) book, Moral Uncertainty, co-authored with @Tobyordoxford and Krister Bykvist, is out today! It’s open access - download it at https://www.moraluncertainty.com/ or order a hard copy via Amazon

Charlotte Summers

charlot_summers

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has highlighted the varied responses of humans to uncertainty: A new virus has many unknowns. People have declared themselves certain on a variety of topics from public

Ashley Jackson

a_a_jackson

IEA "would like to stress to the new American president-elect and future administration that implementation of the agreement is the most reasonable and effective tool for ending the conflict between

Matthew Yglesias

mattyglesias

I used to get mad at @NateSilver538’s forecasts because I wanted to understand them in metaphysical terms, but I think if you come to terms what what he’s really saying

Torry Gaucher

TorryGaucher

Okay folks. I am sure you've heard a lot of chat about #Isaias and his path north. The @NHC_Atlantic has southern New England in the cone of uncertainty early to

Leslie Picker

LesliePicker

THREAD: Direct listings, plus a primary capital raise. The SEC approved this concept put forth by the NYSE today, removing one of the biggest deterrents for going public via direct

Dr. Elizabeth Sawin

bethsawin

How's your tolerance for uncertainty right now? I'm working to build mine and it is tough. But very required. A few things I notice as I work at this... My

Hilda Bastian, PhD

hildabast

Confirmation on the 78% for mild Covid-19 subgroup for Sinovac's inactivated vaccine CoronaVac: excluded people who didn't need medical care. Overall efficacy likely in the low 60s https://archive.vn/Ms4nM Depending on

Dan Gardner

dgardner

Please, citizens of Twitter, stop rewarding hand-wavy blowhards who write 37-part threads that Explain Everything. Yes, they hate who you hate and they replace uncertainty with certainty. Yes, they make

Olivier Blanchard

ojblanchard1

1. Twitter is great in allowing you to get your thoughts out quickly. Sometimes too quickly. You have second thoughts. The world changes. I want to take three covid

Luca

LucaAmb

1/?) Since a lot of you liked my book suggesting, I decided to make a short thread about the difference between frequentism and Bayesianism. Enjoy! 2/?) In frequntist statistics, observations

Venkatesh Rao

vgr

I’m sure everybody’s motives (including mine) can be cast in a selfish light, but what makes people interesting to me is self-illegibility. A poet is not necessarily more or less

Alexandra Freeman

alex_freeman

How certain do people think a negative (or positive) COVID test result is? Is that affected by the info used to explain test results?We tested info from NHS, CDC, and

Seaġhán Labhrás Ó Fidhne

OFidhne

The poet John Keats had a concept which he called “Negative Capability” which is the willingness to embrace uncertainty, live with mystery, and make peace with ambiguity. I think the

Dr Fiona Rawle

FiRawle

At the end of 1st lecture I asked my students "What is your biggest worry right now?" Take a second & read some of their responses, & if you're a

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