#Uncertainty

John Cutler

johncutlefish

tip ... master the idea of fixed-length, variable scope efforts.really, really, really internalize the idea. seems simple enough, but here are some things ppl miss (1/n) Right from the start

Akshay Rajhans

rajhans

DRS hot take and a mini thread: a) Showing only the most likely trajectory and b) calling the uncertainty 'umpire's call' are doing a disservice to the acceptability of the

Hank Green

hankgreen

So, when the vaccines were proved to 90%+ effective at preventing people from getting COVID, science communication world (including me) was quick to have some caveats. One being that the

Mary Ziegler

maryrziegler

Hard to know how to read this, but I assume there must be serious interest in taking this case. So let's break down why this case might intrigue the Court's

Pavel A. Samsonov

PavelASamsonov

Linear roadmaps are misleading without a crystal ball for seeing the future. A roadmap that recognizes the existence of risk as time goes on is more honest. But an effective

Alex John London

AlexJohnLondon

2. Right now we are struggling to get vaccine into people’s arms. If we adopt a policy of 1 shot only, we could easily be in a situation in which

BarryRoland19

BarryRoland19

Some thoughts re my investment/business strategy:I like operating in what I like to call the Wild WestAreas where information isn't readily available to everyone; where the game hasn't been solved;

Olivier Blanchard

ojblanchard1

Some quick reactions to the new lockdowns in Europe. 1. The degree of uncertainty is much higher than in the first wave. In the first wave, the (incorrect) belief was

Stephen Kinsella

stephenkinsella

.@noteworthy_ie investigation into conditions in Irish higher education continues. Unsurprisingly precarious work hurts women, minorities, & those with disabilities more: https://www.thejournal.ie/academic-uncertainty-pt2-5265743-Nov202

NCVO

NCVO

1/ The transition period for the UK leaving the EU is due to end on 31 December 2020. New arrangements are yet to be agreed, but there are a range

Chris Wittich

RavenousTiger

Reading the IFR about PPP second draw and it's got me thinking about who qualifies for second draw. Might be so many thoughts I need like several tweets in a

Pete Greig

PeteGreig

A prayer for the many millions waking this morning to deep disappointment and fear:——May the love of God the Father bring unexpected comfort to your home today, connecting hearts that

ArmaniTalks 🎙🔥

ArmaniTalks

Toxic people rarely just leave & that's itThey try to come back, masked in a sweeter form 'Why do I get bitten by the same snakes so many times?'Because you

Alex John London

AlexJohnLondon

1. I’m not persuaded by this. Some reasons are specific to this case others apply more generally to arguments of the form—if we deviate from practices that are supported by

Septic Peg

PegSeptic

Covid & how you may be feeling... a thought thread. Local restrictions lead to frustration & uncertainty, we are as humans emotionally unprepared for the detrimental effects of biological diseases.

jack

jack

It’s important that we acknowledge this is a time of great uncertainty and struggle for so many around the world. Our goal in this moment is to disarm as much

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