#Predictions

Amarnath Amarasingam

AmarAmarasingam

1. There has been a lot of talk about QAnon and a well-known body of work in the sociology of religion/social psychology called the “failure of prophecy”. A new piece

Rajiv Sethi

rajivatbarnard

We look at daily predictions for 13 battleground states over a seven month period, comparing @TheEconomist model and @PredictIt Here are the time paths of predictions, you can see large

Thaddeus Michaels

ThadMichaels

There seem to be two approaches to the Covid debate. One is to weigh up the available evidence as best you can (deferring to experts where appropriate) and then judge

ً

lfc_chappo

Thread of my Liverpool rating predictions:

Dr. Mansa Keita

rasmansa

Much of machine learning is training on category variables and then using them to make predictions about individuals.There aren't many ML algorithms trained just on single individuals.https://twitter.com/pmddomingos/status/1353096987399

Schooley

Rschooley

Opening schools will be a hell of a way to discover the reason Covid wasn't too prevalent in kids is because schools were closed. I guess looking at the transmission

Putanumonit Jacob

yashkaf

𝐅𝐨𝐨𝐥𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐑𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐨𝐦𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐨 𝐑𝐚𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐦A thought experimental threadDoes intuition enlighten or mislead? Depends. In ordered contexts with fast feedback (chess), i

Stewart Alsop III - Host of Crazy Wisdom Podcast

StewartalsopIII

A #stablethread on the 5HT2A receptor. This is the serotonin receptor that is being acted upon whenever someone takes a tryptamine psychedelic (LSD, DMT, etc). Let's get into it! It's

Kostas on F.I.R.E. 🔥

itsKostasOnFIRE

The Baltimore Stockbroker ParableHow one stockbroker managed to achieve a 100% success rate in predicting stock movements/THREAD/ 1/ One day you receive an unsolicited newsletter from a stockbroker in Baltimore.

The Wolf Of All Streets

scottmelker

$DXY (USD)I continue to see a lot of bullish predictions for the dollar and just can't get there. Looks like it's ready to break down for another leg. I don't

Rory Boland

roryboland

The comments under this post show the harm the travel industry risks to its reputation by pushing for holidays to take place soon. It’s out of step with public mood.

Caitlin Johnstone ⏳

caitoz

Americans keep expecting a system that's not built to serve their interests to serve their interests.- Progressives look to congress for economic justice.- Trumpers think the judicial system will overturn

$weet-ting 🇧🇸💖

indialexandria

DECEMBER 21st 2020 The great Conjunction The significance + predictionsSaturn and Jupiter will conjunct (overlap).These two planetary giants haven’t overlapped this closely since 1623, not this visible from earth since

Ayyanbaan

AyyanBaan

doing this againfifa 21 toty rating predictions thread: End of thread rts appreciated

Neoliberal 🌐

ne0liberal

A quick thread about why I believe election models are better than betting markets:The simplest answer: political prediction markets are sometimes just bad, full stop. See research:http://bjll.org/index.php/jpm/article/view/1796 If you read

Sam Freedman

Samfr

This isn't true. The grade awarded by the school is the main factor but it will be moderated by how far school predictions are above previous results and likely grades

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