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#Immunity
Nate Silver
NateSilver538
This seems like a fairly realistic set of assumptions for what to expect on the COVID-19 front next year as vaccinations begin to roll out. Things start to get notably
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Adam Kucharski
AdamJKucharski
Suppose we have a SARS-CoV-2 variant that is inherently more transmissible, and another that is more likely to reinfect people who've previously developed immunity. Which will spread more easily? A
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Adam Kucharski
AdamJKucharski
I've noticed people sometimes use 'herd immunity' to mean 'pathogen fades to zero and stays there' rather than the technical definition (i.e. R drops below 1 because of accumulated immunity,
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Jerry Dunleavy
JerryDunleavy
“Fauci acknowledged he had slowly but deliberately been moving the goal posts. He is doing so, he said, partly based on new science, and party on his gut feeling that
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Anosognosiogenesis
pookleblinky
Measles makes your immune system forget. It's called immunological amnesia: it literally wipes the slate clean, and you are now vulnerable to any disease you already acquired immunity to.https://twitter.com/pookleblinky/status/133358233
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Monica Gandhi MD, MPH
MonicaGandhi9
I am behind - will tweet on the phase I/II data of the Novovax vaccine trial in NEJM tomorrow & press release of phase 3. But remember that immunity (herd
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Michel Accad
michelaccad
The narrative on herd immunity is clearly changing. On May 1, it was: "Try to reach it without a vaccine and millions will die" /1https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/01/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-herd-immunity.html Today, it's a d
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Monica Gandhi MD, MPH
MonicaGandhi9
Thank you for sending me this paper in Science Immunology (one of many now) showing strong immunity developing in health care workers even after asymptomatic or mild infection. Wanted to
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Times Food
TOIFood
Our best bet to stay safe during this coronavirus pandemic is to keep our immunity up and tight.https://recipes.timesofindia.com/web-stories/most-effective-immunity-boosting-kadhas/photostory/79300279.cms?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medi
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Yardley Yeadon
MichaelYeadon3
Bill Gates On Covid Vaccine Timing, Hydroxychloroquine, and That 5G Conspiracy TheoryI post this not very interesting piece to remind people that even non scientists know that natural immunity follows
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Nate Silver
NateSilver538
I have a few thoughts on this and similar polls that ask people if they'll get vaccinated.1. In the medium run, the limiting factor is likely to be access and
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WheatNOil
WheatNOil
One common question I got was “What happens if I get the vaccine and I’ve already had COVID?” Related to that, “Should I get the vaccine if I’ve had COVID?”
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Dr Clare Craig
ClareCraigPath
Patients with COVID produced a T-cell driven immune response to between 17 & 18 different regions of the virus. Antibody immunity only measures a fraction of this response. Concerns about
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Orin Kerr
OrinKerr
If state police try to arrest federal agents for making what they believe are unlawful arrests, federal agents presumably will respond by arresting the state police for what they believe
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Sarah Zhang
sarahzhang
I wrote about how all the signs are pointing to herd immunity against COVID-19 becoming impossible. This is how the pandemic ends instead—because yes, it can still end. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/02/herd-immunity-migh
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Alan U. Kennington
kennington_u
Vaccine "critical herd immunity strength".Let's call it CHIS for now. Assume 100% coverage.Effectiveness E gives CHI if R ≤ 1/(1−E) = CHIS.So E=70% gives CHI if R ≤ 3.33.So CHIS
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