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CA has done everything “right”: kept schools shut, bankrupted small business, even tried to relegate households of 1 to solitary confinement. Meanwhile, FL has allowed the things. Lockdown hypothesis predicts
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How can a just state order people to stay home indefinitely—not bc they‘ve done anything wrong, not bc they’re sick, not even bc they’ve been exposed—but simply bc it’s possible
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I have been thinking this Christmas about hidden pain around holidays. Despite the ebullient social media posts with which we deluge one another this time of year, if we are
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Surprised by how many people respond to arguments about lockdowns by arguing that recessions save lives. They always draw on the same work by Ruhm noting macro-level correlations between mortality
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More out of Iceland = game over. Big random n & genomic analysis so no guessing at direction. “This 40,000-person study found that children under 15 were about half as
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In their March 16 paper, Imperial could not have put this point more bluntly. And in late March, @WesPegden spelled out some of the concrete implications of this same point.
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Can someone help me understand one aspect of the controversy over the role of T-cells?I know it is possible for a cross-reactive T-cell immune response to be unhelpful (e.g., "original
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1/ Keep hearing I shouldn’t be citing Iceland’s data. Because that country is too small. Here is why that makes no sense. 2/ Size of a country irrelevant to whether
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People keep asking whether opening schools is safe.Also need to be asking whether shutting schools is safe. It’s not. Here are some illustrations. “Whenever schools return, researchers say, the likely
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1/ Schools. The most common response I hear: “I want to open them too . . . but not until we have gotten spread under control.” Here is why this
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1/ The most important evidence regarding pediatric transmission comes from Iceland, and their study published in NEJM. Be suspicious of any expert ignoring this paper and discussing anecdotes instead. https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NE
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@JeremyKonyndyk, a few qs:1. You have been advocating against schools on the ground that the pandemic is insufficiently contained. But open schools have not been shown to accelerate spread—so why
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