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Nate Silver
NateSilver538
One other thing here: usually, you'd expect the election to revert to the mean. And if forced to bet, I'd bet on Biden's margin narrowing, possibly to the point where
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Jim Killock
jimkillock
This should be all over the papers. Racial profiling of voters without consent is not acceptable.https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/conservative-party-racially-profiled-10-million-voters/ And, you may ask, why isn’t it all o
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Wisconsin Elections
WI_Elections
Correcting Misinformation about Wisconsin's Electionhttps://elections.wi.gov/node/7241 1. Wisconsin voters can trust their vote was counted. 2. Minor news media errors in reporting Wisconsin’s unofficial results do not affect th
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₿AALZIMON
baalzimon
THE ELECTION MESS THAT WAS WISCONSINUnmanned ballot drop boxes are illegal in Wisconsin.Wis. Stat. 6.855(3). Alternate absentee ballot sites “shall be staffed by the municipal clerk or the executive director
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Molly Hensley-Clancy
mollyhc
Republicans are trying to throw out 100,000+ votes cast at drive-in voting centers in Harris County. I went to one yesterday. Voters use the exact same voting equipment that is
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Tom Bonier
tbonier
For those of you interested in wildly overreacting to a very narrow dataset on this Election Day, might I recommend Duval County, Florida?https://www.duvalelections.com/Election-Information/2020-General-Election-Turnout Duval County has bee
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Bansi Sharma
bansisharma
1. Trump Was Outmaneuvered By Democrats in Broad DaylightTrump didn't lose the election on election day. On election day voting, he won big. But he had lost the election before
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Nan Hayworth, M.D.
NanHayworth
If I may expand a bit: findings indicate an anomaly in results for the proportion of Trump-only versus Biden-only votes in a given precinct, versus the proportion of straight-ticket GOP
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Sally Albright
SallyAlbright
Y'all, I know it's counter-intuitive but "unity" works against us this time.We came within 70k votes of winning without Bernie holdouts last time. We can more than make up for
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Joe Skeaping
JSkeaping
This simplistic narrative is repeated again & again: "traditional" working-class voters in north/Midlands (e.g. in Dudley) deserted Labour specifically because of Corbyn & his lack of patriotism. But the reality
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Bryce HammerSickle
BryceHammers
4 years of Trump tells Dem voters that our problems are a result of Trump and the far right, instead of a product of capitalism. A Neolib presidency will help
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Jon Worth
jonworth
"Red wall voters will not forgive Boris Johnson if he sells out to get a trade deal with Brussels, polls show"It's in The Sun. Harry Cole wrote it...So let's dig
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Greg Sargent
ThePlumLineGS
Every American should read Pennsylvania's scorching brief in the Texas lawsuit. It shows that those backing this lawsuit are demanding nothing less than the lawless imposition of the minority's will
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Nate Cohn
Nate_Cohn
Let's talk about what the GOP, and more specifically David Perdue, needs to do on Election Day in order to prevail. It's nothing impossible, in my view. But it's worth
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Mia Costa
mia_i_costa
Excited to share: In a new article now online @AJPS_Editor, I show that concerns about affective polarization, in terms of what it means for perceptions of elite behavior, may be
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Joseph O'Neill
JosephONeillx
D downballot underperformance (and GOP overperformance) is pretty much guaranteed until Ds abandon their strategy--a losing one, for 26 years--to avoid basic partisan politics, ie making people trust D designation
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