#Predictions

Karim Gillani

kgillani

The pandemic acted as an accelerant for digital services in 2020. This year, the momentum will continue, and we will see big leaps in the FinTech space, primarily focused on

sk8b0rt

sk8b0rt

2021 Predictions thread:•skate-patreon (skatreon) happens; Jaws, Joslin, Brandon Bonner are on•Nyjah quotes Kobe “job finished?” during Olympic semi’s•Guy Nike part•Bannerot does kickflip to ceiling-bash at a diy park. SOTY ru

Yiqin Fu

yiqinfu

Seems like the 2020 prediction error *across all states* is similar to that in 2016.Fivethirtyeight's MSE was 45 in 2016 and 48 so far this time.For 12 key states, the

Andy Cotgreave

acotgreave

Thread: How would YOU visualize poll tracker data? You have 50 US states and a race to 270 Electoral College votes. Here's a thread of several approaches from the media,

brad plumer

bradplumer

No idea if this is right or not (predictions are hard, idk), but it does seem to me that thinking about solar geoengineering as a break-glass-in-case-of-emergency thing, where the world

Damon Evans

damocrat

I wanted us to be wrong about Brexit. All the arguments, fights, predictions, statistics, data etc. Sadly, it’s now glaringly obvious that we were right. Our task now isn’t to

John.P+1.Patriot 💫🌠☀️☄🌌🌋

the_start_line

1. Have you ever wondered why a 6 foot diameter is important in the social distancing? Does it really prevent the spread? Here's a possibility. 2. Your bio electromagnetic field

David Henig

DavidHenigUK

I'm still wading through the UK-EU agreement, but in the words of a famed US election watcher, I've seen enough. I'm calling who won...Actually calling two winners.The EU. And the

Jugurtha Hadjar

jugurthahadjar

0. Form:0.0. It pays to provide services through a company. Companies write large checks to companies without blinking; not so large for individuals. 1. Contracts:1.0. Get a lawyer to prepare

Sean T at RCP

SeanTrende

My 2c on the "did the models/aggregates really miss" debate: I think we need some clarity on what these things really are. Are they meant to predict elections? Or do

lastmjs.eth ⟠

lastmjs

1/ Some medium-term predictions for Ethereum as we head into a new year.2021 will be the year of rollups. Much of the research and effort going into optimistic and zk

Patrick

patrickneiland1

The sensitivity of dogs to human communication cues is probably the closest thing to a central dogma in canine research (pun very much intended). So we were very surprised to

Free Northerner

FreeNortherner

Looking back on my election predictions, I vastly overestimated the competence and long-term planning abilities of our elites.I can still barely believe they threw away a century of frog-boiling for

Boardroom

boardroom

.@eBay has released its first-ever “State of Trading Cards” report for 2020: 142% surge in domestic sales 2020 had over 4 million more sports cards, collectible card games and non-sport

Blake E. Reid

blakereid

There are fewer things more exquisitely annoying than Nate Silver complaining about the data literacy of a lay audience that 538 knowingly panders to with slickly produced infographics that elide

Timothy B. Lee

binarybits

Predictions for autonomy in 2021—confidence in parentheses.* Waymo will expand its Phoenix service area but will still serve less than half the Phoenix metro area by the end of 2021.

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