#Prediction

Personal top 10 fallacies and paradoxes in statistics1. Absence of evidence fallacy2. Ecological fallacy3. Stein’s paradox4. Lord’s paradox5. Simpson’s paradox 6. Berkson’s paradox7. Prosecutors fallacy8. Gambler’s fallacy9. Linds
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1/ PDM missed an old tested political trick — LAMBI PATLI SARAK PAR JALSAMinar Pak is a GAMBLEFILL IT good, possible only with grassroot mobilization not ralliesIf YOU FAIL then
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1/DeFi has single-handled sparked more excitement in crypto now than at any point since the 2017 ICO craze Many are scrambling to figure out what this DeFi craze is all
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If you want to form your own opinion on the merits of Texas' case, here's what I recommend you do:1) Read this: https://thefederalist.com/2020/11/12/pennsylvania-mail-in-ballot-snafu-is-ripe-for-the-u-s-supreme-court-to-intervene/ 2
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I was analyzing some trades and ruminated on some principles. Probably obvious to most but I find I can keep learning by going over stuff I think I "know". I
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Long #COVID19 thread:2020-07-18 Florida #COVID19 update:I've updated the model since last time with several new graphs and predictions for the key metrics being tracked (the ones being shown on the
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What does it take to generate multiple cell states? To find out, we designed and built "MultiFate", a synthetic circuit that generates multistability in mammalian cells. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.02.10.430659v1
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Quick Thread on #Altcoins/ #Altseason Step 1: $BTC has a huge correction. Every range starts with either a pump (or dump) and then follows with a dump (or pump). In
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Some thoughts after reading thread from @woonomic :and questions which are not popular to ask in #cryptoland. (4 tweet thread)He says this: ¨With the current flows of capital coming in,
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Great question from @Geopilot on this @pilliarscreatio post: why does the exhaust plume impinge on the aft portion of the Saturn-V first stage in the photo below? Let’s talk supersonic
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Remember when I talked about how Electricity is a struggle even in developed countries?Here's a thread about the Industrial Curtailment Initiative (ICI), a technique used to solve this problem in
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One of Italy's largest-ever #mafia trials kicked off, suddenly gaining the attention of national and international commentators. Expectations are high, but some obersvers are skeptical. Is this just a drop
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Rajya Sabha Strength, as it is likely to evolve. #Reforms #GST #Modi 2 years later and BJP has actually managed to do slightly better than the projected seats in #RajyaSabha,
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Ever wondered who the King is in @Hodor7777 / @bearableguy123 castle riddle? Its his boss Barry Silbert. This guy is Truly the King of the Cryptosphere. He has his hands
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1/ Charlie Munger: “We have the same problem as everyone else: It’s very hard to predict the future."Seth Klarman: "An unresolvable contradiction exists: to perform present value analysis, you must
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Thats a fairly disgraceful piece from Diarmaid Ferriter in the @IrishTimes where he uses his platform to throw a load of misleading & incorrect claims above #Covid19 into the public
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