leaving aside mask efficacy, will these folks (whose model famously missed by 10-100x on hospitalizations) ever tire of making circular arguments that literally say "our model assumes X does Y, so that proves you should do X or X worked!"

a third grader could see through this. https://twitter.com/AliHMokdad/status/1275886339917967360

this is not a reason. this is not data. this is not evidence.

it's not even rudimentary logic.

this is prediction by a model whose past prognostications make a magic 8 ball look like the theory of relativity.

they have been making assumptions based on who knows what for months & missing massively on all their guesses & they are STILL not just at it, but literally smug

no amount of abject failure to evidence skillful forward prediction seems sufficient for them to abandon this charade