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#Modelling
Thomas J. Leeper
thosjleeper
There's a weird thing in political science literature where people do observational causal inference but avoid causal language and opt instead for the language of predictive modelling but then don't
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Thomas House | 托马斯豪斯 | توماس هاوس
TAH_Sci
Sensible and silly criticisms of modelling. (1/7) Sensible: The model misses out some important feature of reality, or is needlessly complex. This is hard to get right, so usually has
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Aetiologic
aetiologic
Extraordinary work from @bc_selfcare and @CarolineColijn . "The SFU team determined that if rapid testing was used for every visitor, there could be a 90% reduction in the number of
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ᴅʀ ᴛᴀᴅ
Dr_Tad
For a report by scientists, the Covid modelling report released by the Victorian government is disturbingly full of hyperbole, misinformation & unevidenced assertions. It reads like political spin, not science.https://www.abc.net.au/new
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Seher Shafiq 👩🏽💼
seher_shafiq
ICYMI this afternoon: Ontario has surpassed worst-case scenario for November cases and some new modelling was released. Things are about to get very bad. New modelling says in ~4 weeks
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TooMuchHoops (Brad)
Too_Much_Hoops
It's been exactly 1 month and 15 days since Doug Ford announced Ontario's new COVID framework. Yes, the one that ignored the government's own health experts and set thresholds 4X
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David Paton
cricketwyvern
The MRC mid-point forecast (made on 12th Oct) was for 465 deaths / day by 26 Oct & a range of 240-690.PHE data are now fairly complete for 26 Oct
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Peter Hannam
p_hannam
So Labor says it's not backing down on climate policy....https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/labor-rejects-claims-it-is-backing-down-on-climate-policy-20210128-p56xlb.html IMO, @Mark_Butler_MP was without peer in his knowl
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Andy Arthur
cocteautriplets
I'm not sure the east of central Edinburgh really needs a drive through coffee shop but there you go, free car parking don't make enough money for investment funds that
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Ed Tubb
EdTubb
1/2 Ahead of Ontario's COVID-19 modelling presentation Tues. — the one the Premier said will cause you to "fall off your chair" — here's the last round from just before
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Dr. Lisa Iannattone
lisa_iannattone
Is Denmark the first Western country to go for #COVIDzero after a huge wave? Maybe. Unlike Canada, they know that loosening restrictions now is ill-advised. Despite the numbers being “low”,
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Dr Sara Hastings-Simon
S_HastingsSimon
On the other hand I've been very frustrated since reading the coverage of the CER Energy Futures 2020 report. In particular related to the oil production forecasts. Statements like "all
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Kate
Asilverlining20
How did we get here? The catalyst for lockdown came on March 16 with the publication of a report by Neil Ferguson’s Imperial College team. This is the report that
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Cyril Ritter
CyrilRitter
Claiming to take decisions based on science can be just as wrong as not trusting science. Politicians need to combine science advice & political choices & take responsibility for it.
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Ben Chu
BenChu_
Did the Office for National Statistics really produce ‘false data’ on coronavirus infections? Were new cases actually plateauing in October?Had a look at this question for @indypremium ...https://www.independent.co.uk/independentpremium
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Kristina Keneally
KKeneally
.@SenKatyG, @MurrayWatt and I have seen some bizarre Government performances in the Senate COVID-19 Committee.But yesterday was something special.A thread The @NTEUNational says we are facing a $16 BILLION
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