#Hypothesis

aure

maureviv

Sensitivity of a PCR from a swab sample is a funny conceptPCR itself is extremely sensitive, now it should be very specific as wellBut provided that the swab captures RNA

The Election Wizard

Wizard_Predicts

Do extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence? No.If the slogan were true, we could never have sufficient evidence for a whole host of extraordinarily improbable events. Although the slogan is catchy,

Simcha Gross

Simcha_Gross

New Publication Wednesday! Just received the printed version of a chapter I wrote entitled "A Long Overdue Farewell: The Purported Jewish Origins of Syriac Christianity." A thread. 1/35 (sorry for

thdhmo

t848m0

You see, it’s interesting how there’s been such a focus on this finding from the report today, because it shows they’ve read the summary but not the body of the

Tyrone Powers

UNATCOHillaryPC

There are atheists out there who believe that God isn't real because there's no scientific evidence for it. A vast swathe of the scientific method relies on observation and experimentation;

Askeladden Capital

AskeladdenTX

For anyone feeling hopeless, here's your daily dose of COVID good news: one way or another, COVID mortality and hospitalizations should drop fairly substantially in Q1 2020.Why? 1/ 2/ We

Anne M. Carpenter

catholickungfu

It occurs to me that John Henry Newman says much better than I could—partly because I get insolent, but also because he is smarter than I am—why essays about “why”

Critical Friend

friend_critical

Any book that tries to draw inferences in British policing from US policing is doomed to failure before it’s even started.That aside, this is an entirely myopic opinion piece that

Professor Alice Sullivan

ProfAliceS

1/ People often claim that the numbers of people identifying as the opposite sex are too small to make a difference statistically. This is a clear example showing why that

Post-Liberal Pete 🇬🇧

post_liberal

The Danish PM is the leader of the Danish social-democrats i.e the centre-left party in Denmark.https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1352809558691950592 Correlation/causation etc but its noticeable that the decline of the Danish centre-lef

Andrew💙Croxford

andrew_croxford

NEW THREAD: «Recent endemic coronavirus infection is associated with less severe COVID-19» The thrust of the paper is that if you had previous exposure to endemic coronaviruses (eCoV) and catch

Raoul Pal

RaoulGMI

So, if the hypothesis that key driver of asset prices is the devaluation of fiat currency it pays to look at assets against G4 Central bank balance sheets as the

Matt Olm

MattagenOlmics

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2505-4 I loved this paper and I bet it's conclusions will be taught in "Intro to Microbial Physiology" classes for decades to come. Very fun to read about a fundamental

Darren 🥚

ReformedTrader

1/ Separating the Wheat from the Chaff: Backwardation as the Long-Term Driver of Commodity Futures Performance (Feldman, Till)"The share of return variance explained by backwardation rises from 24% at a

suhas palshikar

PalshikarSuhas

On the controversy over 'celebrities' making similar statement supporting stand of MEA --- what do we learn? /1 Similarity of statement suggests signatories are dumb or conspiring by approving a

draglikepull

draglikepull

Piggy-backing off a thread from @stephen_burtch this morning, one thing we know about goaltending is that the only really repeatable portion of SV% is high danger SV%. Low and medium

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