#Modelling

Jethro F Elsden

JethroFElsden

"So if you manage to get, say, 85 per cent of people to take it and it turns out to be 90 per cent effective, that's still 25 per cent

Kathleen Ganley

KathleenGanley

The UCP think their ideology is more important that the wellbeing and mental health of the people of this province. At every step with COVID-19 they have prioritized their “freedom”/small

MultifractelFarol

Mephisto731

Braindumping a thread on $SPX, $VIX and vol dynamics prompted by a really nice tweet by @JimmyJude13. Robinhoodies, we're going swimming in deep water so please wear armbands and let

Christina Pagel

chrischirp

THREAD: on lockdowns, mitigation, herd immunity strategies. I have a *lot* of problems with this article by Lord Sumption in the Guardian today - so I've decided to do a

Emma Hilton

FondOfBeetles

Injury risk is a function of size, speed and, perhaps most significantly, strength.https://twitter.com/genderintell/status/1296376000402599937 If one considers only people of typical mass (height, weight), the injury risk of a male on

Dr Rob Cromarty

DocCrom

Ancient Artefact of the Day: The Meroë HeadA bronze portrait head of the Emperor Augustus, which was excavated at Meroë, where it had been deposited as a victory token by

COVID Impact

CovidSerology

Manaus has now surpassed the very tragic 26/04 burial record of 167 with 198 burials in the past 24H (13/01) for a total of 1486 burials in January with 50%

Jonathan Mountstevens

MrMountstevens

Interesting responses to yesterday's @tes article about how GCSE and A Level results will be determined. Some angry that teachers grades will not be respected and others arguing that @ofqual

Louis Everett

LouisEverett1

So, Rebecca’s session is on increasing pupil participation in online lessons. She starts with point that you can never get the kind of ratio of pupil participation that face to

Ben Chu

BenChu_

Is Covid really being spread significantly in and by schools? Thread The decision by the government to relay the school return for secondary pupils by a week suggests ministers now

Nick Brown

sTeamTraen

There is something rather inexorable about the relation between COVID-19 cases and deaths in the second wave. Here's a thread of the good and the (potentially very) bad news. /1

😀SimonPearson961😀

SimonPearson961

The “new strain” of the virus was already in Italy and France. Look at Frances’s case numbers for late Nov. There is no actual evidence for it - only modelling.

Robin Monotti

robinmonotti

Karl Popper's Falsification Principle: how to divide science from non-science. Science: For a theory to be considered scientific it must be able to be tested (for medicine this means with

Nick Hudson

NickHudsonCT

“Data driven curve fitting is a good tool for real time decision making, but also provides a good framework for modelers to check their model assumptions (sanity checks) and keep

Ecofiscal Commission

EcofiscalCanada

Our final report: Canada’s leaders have committed to meeting our 2030 GHG reduction targets. New modelling shows which policies will actually get us there at lower cost. Carbon pricing tops

UBI Lab Network

UBILabNetwork

Turns out the £660bn "national cost of UBI" quoted here is the result of Cllr @RossMackinnonWB simply multiplying the UK population by the UBI they'd get, without factoring in the

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