#Bayesian

Katie Mack

AstroKatie

When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras, and don’t get baited into arguments by people who are outraged by your refusal to entertain the possibility that zebras might exist

Andrew Gordon Wilson

andrewgwils

In practice, standard "deep ensembles" of independently trained models provides a relatively compelling Bayesian model average. This point is often overlooked because we are used to viewing Bayesian methods as

Luca

LucaAmb

1/?) Since a lot of you liked my book suggesting, I decided to make a short thread about the difference between frequentism and Bayesianism. Enjoy! 2/?) In frequntist statistics, observations

Chelsea Parlett-Pelleriti

ChelseaParlett

SO YOU WANT TO BE A BAYESIAN : (since I compiled a quick list of Bayesian resources today, I figured I should share; these are just my opinion!)https://twitter.com/ChelseaParlett/status/1329572163947433986 Beginner

Matteo Lisi

mlisi6

New paper out! We developed a new method to study confidence in perceptual decision-making without requiring explicit rating scales, and found clear deviations from Bayesian accounts of subjective confidence.https://www.nature.com/articles/

Jean Laurens

JeanLaurensLab

Hi SciTwitter, I’d like to show how nice the #vestibular system is from a systems & #computationalneuroscience point of view. I am preparing a series of threads about classical vestibular

Dan Stein

DanStein_econ

Running evaluations for policy makers, as opposed to grumpy seminar peeps or the dreaded Reviewer #2? In a new @IDinsight working paper (w/ Torben Fischer and @dougj8921), we argue that

Peyman Milanfar

docmilanfar

Optimization problems for solving inverse problems often require compute-heavy, large-scale, iterative solutions. Maybe we can avoid all that & "kernelize" the problem, thereby approximating the solution by making & applyi

Evan Miyakawa

evanmiya

Why Saint Louis is a top 10 team -- a thread:Quit hitters:- SLU ranked 8th at http://EvanMiya.com - Jordan Goodwin is 2nd in the nation in Bayesian Performance Rating- French is

Football Index Machine

IndexMachine

"Mr 2nd-place" Kimmich Thread: Inspired by @ifoundthates idea of using simulation to understand if Kimmich is just unlucky, I ran some analyses to test the effect of position change on

Federico Lelli

lellifede

Paper day: "A cautionary tale in fitting galaxy rotation curves with Bayesian techniques: does Newton's constant vary from galaxy to galaxy?"SPOILER: the answer is "no" because we do respect Betteridge's

Evan Miyakawa

evanmiya

Why Gonzaga has the pieces to go undefeated - a player analytics thread:Main points:- Gonzaga with 3 players in top 10 in BPR, 6 in top 50- Team's offensive rating

Riccardo Fusaroli

fusaroli

As I taught my bayesian modeling class today again the issue came up of how can we make sure that priors are not biasing in undue ways our results. Which

Heather Urry

HeatherUrry

Psych Stats/Methods people: Tomorrow, hypothesis testing strikes back in my undergrad research methods class. Wanted to share some resources that I've found really helpful to talk about Bayesian hypothesis testing.

Evan Miyakawa

evanmiya

Why Wisconsin is a top 5 team -- a thread:Quick hitters:- Wisconsin ranked 3rd at http://EvanMiya.com - Brad Davison is 7th in nation in Bayesian Performance Rating- Badgers have 4 players

Christopher D. Long (Кристофер Октонион Лонг)

octonion

Here's an interesting side excursion on the Elo rating system.Say our players have ratings A, B and the probability of A beating B follows Beta(A,B). Then we observe A beating

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